So how about all that talk that it’s ‘regulation’ that’s holding back the US economy?

The regulation and govt. ‘interference’ in China is far beyond anything imaginable in the US, yet their growth rates are far beyond
anything imaginable for the US, and they manage higher levels of employment with consumption at only about 35% of GDP.

So what’s the difference?

How about Chinese annual deficits running well over 20% of GDP (state lending is functionally very close to state deficit spending) in the normal course of business?

Much like the US did in WWII?

With similar growth rates?

Ok, so 25% might be a tad too high for the kind of price stability most in the US would prefer.

And so now China is fighting a 6% inflation rate.

Hardly ‘hyper inflation’

And certainly no reason for us not to go to the 12-14% annual deficits we probably need to sustain full employment, given current credit conditions.

In other words, for the size govt. we currently have, we remain grossly over taxed.

China’s Policies Fueling ‘Growing Frustrations,’ Locke Says

 
Sept. 20 (Bloomberg) — U.S. Ambassador to China Gary Locke said the Asian country’s business climate is leading to “growing frustrations” among business and government leaders abroad, planting “seeds of doubt” in the minds of investors.

 
“There is a gap between the goals China identified in its five-year plan and the steps it is taking to achieve them,” Locke told U.S. business executives in Beijing. “Goals like expanding domestic consumption and fostering innovation require an acceleration and expansion of the economic reforms China has undertaken in the last few decades.”

 
Business groups including the Beijing-based American Chamber of Commerce in China, which hosted Locke today, are increasingly concerned that China aims to boost its companies through subsidies and anticompetitive rules at the expense of foreign companies. The European Union Chamber of Commerce in China said this month that discriminatory laws and regulations still impede its members in the world’s second-largest economy.

 
Locke said that foreign businesses face “substantial restrictions” in industries from “aviation to health care to financial services and several others.” To ease investor doubts, Locke said China should abolish restrictive practices like requiring “joint ventures in so many fields” and allowing both local and foreign companies to “make investment decisions without expansive government interference.”

 
Credit Cards

 
Access for financial firms was an area of concern, Locke said, singling out credit cards where he said China’s restrictions had created a domestic monopoly that failed to best serve consumers’ needs. State-owned banks were also skewed toward serving government-sector companies, he said.

 
“A more open and diverse Chinese financial system would help spur China’s economic reform efforts by helping finance the most dynamic firms in the economy and by putting more money in the pockets of the Chinese people through better savings options,” Locke said, according to a copy of the speech handed out to reporters before he spoke.

 
Foreign companies are shut out of industries such as mining, power generation and transportation altogether through China’s policy of selecting “national champions,” he said.

 
China’s policies deny its companies from receiving technology, management skills and jobs that more investment would bring, as well as “creating seeds of doubt in the minds of foreign investors as to whether they are truly welcome in China,” he said.

 
In a report in March, AmCham found 24 percent of respondents to an annual business climate survey said China’s economic reforms had done nothing to improve the environment for U.S. businesses in the country, up from 9 percent who said the same in a poll released last year.

 
No Equal Treatment

 
China’s government hasn’t lived up to Premier Wen Jiabao’s pledge last year that foreign companies would receive equal treatment, the EU chamber said in a report released Sept. 8.

 
Carmakers must take a Chinese partner and are limited to a 50 percent stake in their ventures, while telecommunication companies are effectively shut out from the world’s biggest mobile phone market, the report said. Foreign banks’ ownership of domestic financial firms is capped at 20 percent and overseas wind-turbine makers must tie up with local rivals on the grounds of “national security,” it said.

 
Locke said China’s reform process would be aided by letting its currency, known as the yuan or renminbi, appreciate.

 
Global Responsibility

 
“Allowing the renminbi to appreciate more rapidly would help reduce inflation, including the price of goods and services coming into China, allowing Chinese consumers to buy more with the income that they have,” he said.

 
Locke said China had a responsibility as the world’s second-biggest economy to help revive global growth, adding that reforms and greater market access were “critical to creating jobs in America.”

 
Wen this month said developed nations shouldn’t rely on China to bail out the world economy, and must cut deficits and free up their own markets. The U.S. should “ditch” protectionist measures and “open their arms” to Chinese investments, Xinhua News Agency said in a commentary today.

 
‘Houses in Order’

 
“Countries must first put their own houses in order,” Wen said Sept. 14 at the World Economic Forum in the Chinese city of Dalian. “Developed countries must take responsible fiscal and monetary policies.”

 
After serving as President Barack Obama’s commerce secretary, Locke was named as ambassador after Jon Huntsman resigned in April to run for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

 
Locke, 61, a former governor of Washington from 1997 to 2005, also represented the state in Congress from 1982 to 1993. From 2005 to 2008, he was a partner at Davis Wright Tremaine LLP, a business and litigation law firm that represents clients in the U.S. and China.

 
The “single largest barrier” to improved U.S.-China cooperation is the “lack of openness in many areas of Chinese society — including many areas of the Chinese economy,” Locke said.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Peter Hirschberg at phirschberg@bloomberg.net

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So far looks like a soft landing, as they seem to be successfully regulating state lending, which in China is akin to deficit spending,
sufficiently to slow things down just enough to cool demand just enough to take the edge off of their inflation problem.

So while ‘it’s not over until it’s over’ so far it’s looking promising.

China consumer, business sentiment slips: survey
Sept 16 (MarketWatch) — Chinese households and entrepreneurs are beginning to feel less upbeat about the future, but analysts are divided over whether the mood shift could soon warrant moderate policy easing as authorities seek to cushion the economy from a rapid slowdown.

Sentiment among households, entrepreneurs and bankers weakened in the most recent quarter, according to a survey by the People’s Bank of China released earlier this week.

Households’ inflation expectations nudged up to 74.8 from 72.2, while the outlook for income expectations and job expectations declined 50.3 from 52.1, according to the PBOC survey.

Meanwhile, confidence among bankers eased to 54.9 from 57. Most of those polled believe further monetary-policy tightening was on the way, with interest rates set to rise in the fourth quarter.

Entrepreneurs’ confidence was battered by higher input costs, slowing orders, and harder-to-access credit. Business confidence fell to 70.2 from 75.8 in the prior quarter.

Daiwa Capital Markets analysts said the deteriorating sentiment suggests the PBOC will allow domestic banks to ramp up new lending by an additional 500 billion yuan ($78.32 billion) in the fourth quarter.

The higher loan growth should be seen as “fine tuning” of policy toward a “more balanced approach,” the Daiwa analysts said.

“The purpose of this loosening is to avoid a hard landing, rather than to engineer another economic boom,” Daiwa said in a note Thursday.