The Sin of US ethanol subsidies

The reality if very simple, and there is no end in sight.

The US is a net exporter of food, and a net importer (directly and indirectly) of motor fuels.

So with current high gasoline prices we get a higher price for our food surplus by burning up part of it for fuel.

Even if the energy used in creating the ethanol is somewhat more than the energy produced, the energy used is generally coming from lower cost and domestically produced sources such as coal. And the fuel burned in our cars replaces gasoline- a much higher cost energy that we import.

So, bottom line, burning up part of our surplus crops as motor fuel, which drives up food prices world wide, we reduce imports of motor fuels and we get a higher price for the remaining foods we export.

That is, we benefit economically from the global chaos and the likelihood of mass starvation created by this policy.

:(

World Finance Chiefs Chastise US on Budget Gap

So with the entire world completely wrong,
but nonetheless in charge,
seems a reasonable bet to assume weak demand and a too wide output gap/too high unemployment will continue indefinitely?

That is, fear of looming national solvency crisis (becoming the next Greece)
is causing the world to go, at best, the way of Japan, as the real risk remains deflation.

Not that there won’t be relative value shifts, particularly where there is pricing/monopoly power.
With crude oil the main concern.

The ignorance remains overwhelming, on monetary operation and trade policy, as well as fiscal policy, as highlighted below:

World Finance Chiefs Chastise US on Budget Gap

April 17 (Reuters) — World finance leaders Saturday chastised the United States for not doing enough to shrink its massive overspending and warned that budget strains in rich nations threaten the global recovery.

Finance ministers in Washington for semi-annual talks took sharper aim than in previous years at the United States’ $14 trillion debt.

While most of the criticism came from emerging market economies, some advanced nations joined the chorus.

Dutch Finance Minister Jan Kees de Jager warned that if the United States and other advanced nations move too slowly it could undermine confidence in the global economy.

“Insufficient budgetary consolidation may spark off further escalation of debt sustainability issues, with repercussions on confidence and the still fragile financial sector,” de Jager told the International Monetary Fund’s steering committee.“Debt dynamics in other advanced economies, including the United States, are of concern.”

The IMF this week said the U.S. budget deficit was on course to hit 10.8 percent of nation’s economic output this year, tying with Ireland for the highest deficit-to-GDP ratio among advanced economies. It urged Washington to move quickly to put a credible plan in place to tighten its belt.

Brazil’s finance minister, Guido Mantega, offered sharp words in a thinly veiled attack on the United States. “Ironically, some of the countries that are responsible for the deepest crisis since the Great Depression, and have yet to solve their own problems, are eager to prescribe codes of conduct to the rest of the world,” he said.

The Group of 20 countries agreed on Friday to a plan that could put more pressure on the United States to fix its deficits as well as push other leading economies to address
their own shortcomings.

The IMF’s advisory panel on Saturday said issues of financial stability and sovereign debt stability must be addressed, saying in a communique that “credible actions are needed to accelerate progress.” It emphasized the need for fiscal consolidation in advanced economies while avoiding overheating in emerging economies.

The Obama administration and the U.S. Congress are locked in battle over how best to fix the deficit. Republicans are pushing for deep spending cuts as part of the argument over raising the nation’s $14.3 trillion debt limit, something which is needed to avoid an unprecedented U.S. debt default.

The Republican-led House on Friday approved a plan to slash spending by nearly $6 trillion over a decade and cut benefits for the elderly and poor.

President Barack Obama, who has offered a competing vision to curb deficits by $4 trillion over 12 years, said Thursday the Republican plan would create “a nation of potholes.” The White House is wary about cutting spending sharply while the economic recovery remains fragile.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told fellow finance ministers on Saturday caution was needed. “We are committed to fiscal reforms that will restrain spending and reduce deficits while not threatening the economic recovery,” he said.

Geithner was quick to say others whose policies contribute to global imbalances must change too, “especially those whose fundamentals call for greater exchange rate flexibility…”

The United States has repeatedly called for China to relax its limits on the yuan currency.

Yi Gang, a deputy governor of China’s central bank, called for “more rigorous” efforts by advanced economies to tighten budgets
and said the IMF needs to strengthen its monitoring of these rich nations.

Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, taking aim at the U.S. Federal Reserve, said central banks that buy government debt to keep interest rates low were abetting fiscal profligacy.

The Fed is on course to complete the purchase of $600 billion in U.S. government debt by the end of June, which would take its total purchases of mortgage-related and government debt since December 2008 to nearly $2.3 trillion.

Echoing Republican lawmakers and even some Fed officials, Kudrin said those purchases blurred the line between monetary and fiscal policy in a way that could jeopardize a central
bank’s independence.

“We observe this process with some wonderment, since it amounts to the monetization of those countries’ budget deficits,” Kudrin said.

Stiglitz Calls for New Global Reserve Currency to Prevent Trade Imbalances

>   
>   (email exchange)
>   
>   Hi Warren,
>   
>   Do you have any thoughts on Stiglitz calling for a new reserve currency?
>   Is this something you see as a problem or is Stiglitz getting it wrong?
>   

Yes, my advice for Joe is to stop talking about these things entirely.
He’s in it all way over his head.

Stiglitz Calls for New Global Reserve Currency to Prevent Trade Imbalances

By John Detrixhe and Sara Eisen

April 10 (Bloomberg) — The world economy needs a new global reserve currency to help prevent trade imbalances that are reflected in the national debt of the U.S., said Nobel-prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz.

He doesn’t seem to grasp the notion that imports are real benefits and exports real costs, nor that the national debt is nothing more than dollar balances in Fed securities accounts that are ‘paid back’ by debiting the securities accounts and crediting reserve accounts, also at the Fed. No grandchildren writing checks involved.

A “global system” is needed to replace the dollar as a reserve currency and help avoid a weakening of U.S. credit quality, said Stiglitz, a professor at Columbia University in New York.

There is no such thing as weakening the ability of the US to make US dollar payments. All that’s involved is crediting reserve accounts at the fed.

The dollar fell to an almost 15-month low against the euro last week, and the U.S. trade deficitwidened more than forecast in January to the highest level in seven months.

“By taking off the burden of any single country, we don’t have to have trade deficits,” Stiglitz said in an interview in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire.

He just assumes there’s some problem with a nation running trade deficits, not realizing it’s a sign of success- improved real terms of trade- and not failure.

“Things would be much worse if it were not the case that Europe was having even more of a problem, but winning a negative beauty pageant is not the way to create a strong economy.”

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield was at 3.58 percent on April 8, below the average of 7 percent since 1980.

Deficits per se obviously don’t drive up interest rates.

“Reserves are IOU’s,” Stiglitz said. “When IOU’s get big enough, people start saying maybe you’re not a good credit risk. Or at least, they would change in their sentiment about credit risk.”

Doesn’t matter with a currency issuer like the US, Japan and UK.

Japan’s ‘debt’ is nearly 3x ours, has had multiple downgrades, and their 10 year rate just ‘skyrocketed’ to about 1.3%, for example.

The existing monetary system means “there’s a very good risk of an extended period of low growth, inflationary bias, instability,” Stiglitz said.

Agreed, because nations don’t realize that their taxes function to regulate their aggregate demand, and not to raise revenue per se. And seems Stiglitz doesn’t get it either.

It’s “a system that’s fundamentally unfair because it means that poor countries are lending to the U.S. at close to zero interest rates.”

It’s unfair for a lot of reasons, except that one.

Comments on Non-Mfg ISM

Looks from the chart we’re getting close to the post Bush tax cut, coming out of that recession highs, so we’re on track for our 3-5% read gdp growth guestimates.

And the high productivity reported today reinforces our thoughts on unemployment coming down only slowly as well.

Last time around the expansion phase of what became the sub prime crisis was a substantial contributor to private sector credit growth. Without that kind of contribution from somewhere else, this recovery could be more modest than the last.

For exports to be sustained, the govt would have to keep the dollar down with fx purchases and reserve building, which in my humble opinion isn’t going to happen. That means the adjustment takes place via a climbing US dollar that continues until it dampens exports. Much like what the euro zone has experienced for the last decade or so.


Karim writes:

Multi-year highs for overall index, new orders (3rd highest on record-chart attached), and employment.
Anecdotes also very positive.

  • “New initiatives creating increase in spending.” (Finance & Insurance)
  • “Indications are that business is picking up and that 2011 could see positive growth across many industries. We are seeing an increase in orders at the beginning of the year.” (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)
  • “Starting to see higher prices in many areas. Low inventory levels are leading to longer delivery time frames.” (Public Administration)
  • “Business uncertainty seems to be subsiding.” (Management of Companies & Support Services)
  • “Business activity is picking up. The challenges in the textile market (cotton/polyester) are significantly impacting price along with the inability to secure pricing for a period longer than two months.” (Accommodation & Food Services)
  • “2011 looking better than 2010.” (Information)



Jan Dec
Composite 59.4 57.1
Business activity 64.6 62.9
Prices Paid 72.1 69.5
New Orders 64.9 61.4
Backlog of Orders 50.5 48.5
Supplier Deliveries 53.5 51.5
Inventory Change 49.0 52.5
Inventory Sentiment 60.0 61.5
Employment 54.5 52.6
Export orders 53.5 56.0
Imports 53.5 51.0

Obama and GE working together

“For America to compete around the world, we need to export more goods around the world. That’s where the customers are. It’s that simple,” Obama said.

Yes, and only because he and our Congress are grossly overtaxing us for the size govt we have along with our current credit and trade conditions.

GE is a major exporter, and it should now be obvious that the exporters like GE are in control of policy, promoting their interests at the expense of the macro economy.

By fostering fear of being the next Greece, they continue to shepherd us into becoming the next Japan.

Obama all for creating jobs in India

By IANS

January 23 — Showcasing a new General Electric(GE) deal with India, U.S. President Barack Obama has called for a new effort to put the economy into job-creation “overdrive” by boosting American exports.

“For America to compete around the world, we need to export more goods around the world. That’s where the customers are. It’s that simple,” Obama said visiting the birthplace of GE founded by inventor Thomas Edison at Schenectady, New York. The Schenectady plant now makes power-generating turbines that the company markets globally, including a recent sale in India.

“We’re going back to Thomas Edison’s principles. We’re going to build stuff and invent stuff,” said Obama as he named General Electric CEO Jeffrey Immelt to head an advisory panel on job creation. The panel will be called the Council on Jobs and Competitiveness, a successor to the Economic Recovery Advisory Board that was chaired by former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker.

“The economy is in a different place” than two years ago, Obama told workers at Schenectady. But, though the economy is again growing after a deep recession, the President acknowledged that “it’s not growing fast enough yet.”

Obama held up exports as a core goal, arguing that for a decade the U.S. economy has relied too heavily on debt-financed consumption by its own citizens.

“As I was walking through the plant, you guys had put up some handy signs so I knew what I was looking at. And I noticed on all of them they said, this is going to Kuwait; this is going to India; this is going to Saudi Arabia.”

“That’s where the customers are, and we want to sell them products made here in America,” Obama said.

“That’s why I travelled to India a few months ago – and Jeff was there with us – where our businesses were able to reach agreement to export $10 billion in goods and services to India. And that’s going to lead to another 50,000 jobs here in the U.S.

“Part of the reason I wanted to come to this plant is because this plant is what that trip was all about. As part of the deal we struck in India, GE is going sell advanced turbines – the ones you guys make – to generate power at a plant in Samalkot, India.

“Most of you hadn’t heard of Samalkot, but now you need to know about it, because you’re going to be selling to Samalkot, India,” Obama said mentioning the small Andhra Pradesh pilgrim town, 165 km west of Visakhapatnam, at least four times.

“And that new business halfway around the world is going to help support more than 1,200 manufacturing jobs and more than 400 engineering jobs right here in this community-because of that sale,” he said amid repeated applause.

Obama said U.S. firms are “on track” to achieve his goal of doubling exports in a five-year period.

China agrees to purchase billions in US goods

So President Obama declares victory because we get to build planes and send them to China.

And why?

To get our dollars back, of all things, as if there’s any public purpose to that.

And so because we continue to believe we could be the next Greece, we continue to turn ourselves into the next Japan.

Which includes being an exporter, just like Japan.

China agrees to purchase billions in US goods

January 19 (CNBC) — The Obama administration, trying to build ties with an economic rival, said Wednesday that China would buy $25 billion in U.S. goods and had given final approval to a long-negotiated $19 billion deal for 200 Boeing planes.

The announcement came as Chinese President Hu Jintao arrived at the White House for a state visit with President Barack Obama.

US pressing China to buy tens of billions of dollars in US aircraft, auto parts, agricultural goods and beef “to build goodwill”

I call it a completely misguided sense of public purpose as a direct consequence of not understanding monetary operations:

U.S. Presses China for Deals

By Bob Davis

January 15 (WSJ) — The U.S. is pressing China to buy tens of billions of dollars in U.S. aircraft, auto parts, agricultural goods and beef to build goodwill when the two countries’ leaders meet Wednesday.

In the run-up to the closely watched event between Chinese President Hu Jintao and President Barack Obama, the two countries are jockeying to set the agenda for the visit, as they haggle over deals. The White House expects the centerpiece of the package to be the sale of Boeing Co. jets.

Leaders of both nations say they want to show that the U.S.-China relationship, which was on the skids last year, is back on track and is mutually beneficial. But they also want to frame the meeting in a way that plays most favorably at home.

“Our relationship is marked by great promise and real achievement,” said Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a speech on Friday. “And more than ever it will be judged on the outcomes it produces.”

Mr. Hu’s last state visit, in 2006, came before the global financial crisis when the U.S. was clearly a dominant economic power. Since then, China has become the world’s second-largest economy and its state-orchestrated style of development has become a rival to the U.S.’s more market-oriented approach.

Chinese deal-making is part of nearly all of their state visits abroad—it announced $16 billion in deals in India last month. And given a trade gap with China on track to pass $250 billion last year, the U.S. visit will likely be dismissed by China critics as insufficient.

But the White House considers the deals a way to show concrete benefits from the encounter, when many other issues being discussed—including Iran, North Korea and intellectual-property issues—aren’t easily resolved. The Obama administration also wants to show its ability to add jobs during a time of 9.4% U.S. unemployment.

Given tensions in past months between the two powers, China wants the meeting to go off smoothly and to underscore its new world stature. Since Mr. Hu’s last visit to the White House, “China has grown into this strong young man from a teenage boy,” said Zhuang Jianzhong, deputy director of the Center for National Strategic studies at Shanghai’s Jiao Tong University.

The U.S. goal is tangible progress on issues including trade, currency policy, North Korea and Iran.

In her speech, Mrs. Clinton singled out the need for China’s military “to overcome its reluctance at times to join us in building a stable and transparent military-to-military relationship.” She was referring to the Chinese military’s recent rebuff of Secretary of Defense Robert Gates’s bid to re-establish close, regular meetings at top levels.

Mrs. Clinton also said it was vital China join the U.S. “in sending North Korea an unequivocal signal that its recent provocations—including the announced uranium enrichment program—are unacceptable.” The U.S. recently credited Beijing for convincing North Korea to calm tensions after it shelled a South Korean island.

This past week, Undersecretary of State Robert Hormats, Commerce Undersecretary Francisco Sanchez and Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Demetrios Marantis spent three days in Beijing ironing out trade and investment issues. They focused on two Chinese buying trips, headed by senior officials of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce and the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade, that are set to begin Saturday and run through Jan. 21.

The two groups plan to visit half a dozen cities, including Boeing’s home base of Chicago, where Mr. Hu will meet with U.S. and Chinese business executives Friday.

The aircraft purchases are a priority because Boeing is a symbol of U.S. export strength, and it has facilities and subcontractors around the U.S. China also has great purchasing flexibility when it comes to aircraft because carriers’ deals aren’t final until they are approved by the government.A Boeing spokesman declined to comment.

China is also looking to highlight its role as an investor in the U.S. auto industry. SAIC Motor Corp., China’s largest auto maker, recently bought a $500 million stake in General Motors Co., just under 1% of the company. Chinese investors have bought stakes in auto suppliers.

The focus on purchases, said a senior U.S. official is “in part to reduce the trade imbalance, in part to demonstrate to the American public that there are real job benefits to the relationship with China and, in part, to improve the overall tone and to make the trip successful.”

On other commercial issues, the U.S. is pressing China to provide a specific plan for how government agencies and state-owned businesses will buy legitimate software, not knock-off versions. Beijing has already committed to such purchases.

The White House is also seeking commitments that U.S. firms in China won’t be shut out of government-backed projects for high-tech products. The U.S. official said it was unclear at this point how much progress would be made in those areas.

China is looking to use the state visit to compel changes in U.S. policy. Beijing blames the Federal Reserve’s low interest rates and bond purchases for worsening China’s inflation. A delegation of Chinese academics have been visiting Washington, urging the Fed take into account the problems of developing nations when setting policy.

There is little chance the U.S. will agree, said Eswar Prasad, a China scholar at the Brookings Institution, who met with the academics, because of the Fed’s mandate to consider domestic economic concerns when setting policy. The Fed also believes boosting the economy helps the global economy because so many nations rely on the U.S. market.

Foreign-exchange policy is also bound to be a big issue at the Obama-Hu meeting. Since China announced in mid-June that it would lets its currency float somewhat, it has appreciated about 3.6%—with the yuan strengthening in recent days to new heights.

When accounting for the effects of higher inflation in China compared with the U.S., Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the yuan is moving up at a pace of about 10% a year. That is getting closer to the level the U.S. would like to see.

Either China lets the currency rise to fight higher prices, Mr. Geithner argues, or higher prices will make Chinese exports more expensive anyway. In either case, “competitiveness is going is shifting now in our favor,” he said.

German Economy Grew at Fastest Pace in Two Decades

It’s been a long two decades, and 3.6% growth coming out of a 4.7% slump, slowing to 2% this year, isn’t anything to brag about.

And with the German dependency on exporting to the rest of Europe they’ll likely support continued ECB funding assistance.

The austerity measures, which make euro ‘harder to get’, combined with ECB funding assistance, which addresses default risk, also continue to fundamentally support a stronger euro.

And higher crude prices, which make dollars ‘easier to get’ off shore, work to both weaken the dollar and weaken US domestic demand.

German Economy Grew at Fastest Pace in Two Decades

By Christian Vits

Jan. 12 (Bloomberg) — Germany enjoyed its fastest economic expansion in two decades last year as booming exports spurred hiring and consumer spending.

Gross domestic product jumped 3.6 percent, the most since data for a reunified Germany began in 1992, after slumping 4.7 percent in 2009, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. The figure was in line with the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 28 economists. GDP probably rose 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter from the third, the statistics office said. The official fourth-quarter report is due on Feb. 15.

The Bundesbank expects Europe’s largest economy to expand 2 percent this year and 1.5 percent in 2012 as the sovereign debt crisis damps demand in the euro area, its main export market.

Germany’s Continental AG, the second-biggest tire maker in Europe, yesterday reported sales and earnings that beat its 2010 goals.

“The growth momentum continued into the first quarter and current forecasts might turn out to be too pessimistic,” said Klaus Baader, co-chief euro-area economist at Societe Generale in London. “The German economy will likely have returned to its pre-crisis level in the third quarter.”

The euro traded at $1.3032 at 10:13 a.m. in Frankfurt, up from $1.3005 before the GDP report.

China Frets About Spreading EU Debt Woes

Yes, they want to support the euro with their fx reserves to support their exports to that region, but there is no equivalent of US Treasury securities that they can hold.

It’s as if they could only buy US state municipal debt, and not Treasury secs, Fed deposits, and other direct obligations of the US govt with their dollars.

So the only way they can support exports to the euro zone is to take the credit risk of the available investments.

Now add to that their inflation problems.

The traditional export model is to suppress domestic demand with some type of tight fiscal policy, and then conduct fx purchases of the currency of the target export zone.

The euro zone does the tight fiscal but can’t do the fx buying, so the policy fails as the currency rises to the point net exports don’t increase.

China does the fx buying, but has also recently used state lending and deficit spending to increase domestic demand, which increases domestic prices/inflation, including labor, which works to weaken the currency and retard net exports.

So China fighting inflation and the euro zone fighting insolvency both look to keep aggregate demand down for 2011.

And I don’t see the deficit terrorists about to take their seats in the US Congress doing anything to increase aggregate demand either.

So all that and the Fed still failing to make much headway on either of its dual mandates, 30 year 0 coupon tsy’s at about 4.75% (and libor + as well) look like a pretty good place for a pension fund to get some duration and lay low, at least until there’s some visibility from the new US Congress.

China Frets About Spreading EU Debt Woes

By Langi Chiang

December 21 (Reuters) — China urged European authorities to back their tough talk with action on Tuesday by showing they can contain the euro zone’s simmering debt problems and pull the bloc out of its crisis soon.

China, which has invested an undisclosed portion of its $2.65 trillion reserves in the euro, said it backed steps taken by European authorities so far to tackle the region’s debt problems, but made clear it would like to see the measures having more effect.

“We are very concerned about whether the European debt crisis can be controlled,” Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming said at a trade dialogue between China and the European Union.

“We want to see if the EU is able to control sovereign debt risks and whether consensus can be translated into real action to enable Europe to emerge from the financial crisis soon and in a good shape,” he said.

Concerns that Europe’s debt problems will spread beyond euro zone’s periphery to engulf bigger economies such as Spain and Italy have weighed on global financial markets this year and taken a toll on the euro.

In part to protect its investments, China has repeatedly expressed its support for the single currency.

In October, Premier Wen Jiabao promised to buy Greek government bonds once Greece returned to debt markets, in a show of support for the country whose debt burden pushed the euro zone into a crisis and required an international bailout.

QE still driving portfolio shifting

I’ve been watching for a ‘buy the rumor sell the news’ ‘risk off’ reversal, but it happened at best only momentarily after the Fed announcement, when the 10 year tsy note dipped to maybe 2.62 very briefly, stocks dipped, the dollar sort of held, gold was off a touch, etc. But now it looks like it’s ‘risk back on’ with a vengeance as both believers in QE and those who believe others believe in QE are piling on.

The fact remains that QE does nothing apart from alter the term structure of rates.

There are no ‘quantity’ effects, though from the following article and market reactions much of the world still believes there are substantial quantity effects.

And what we are seeing are the effects of ongoing portfolio shifting and trading based on the false notions about QE.

To review,

QE is not ‘money printing’ of any consequence. It just alters the duration of outstanding govt liabilities which alters the term structure of risk free rates.

QE removes some interest income from the economy which the Fed turns over to the Tsy. This works against ‘earnings’ in general.

QE alters the discount rates that price assets, helping valuations.

Japan has done enough QE to keep 10 year jgb’s below 1%, without triggering inflation or supporting aggregate demand in any meaningful way. Japan’s economy remains relatively flat, even with substantial net exports, which help domestic demand, a policy to which we are now aspiring.

QE does not increase commodity consumption or oil consumption.

QE does not provide liquidity for the rest of the world.

QE does cause a lot of portfolio shifting which one way or another is functionally ‘getting short the dollar’

This is much like what happened when panicked money paid up to move out of the euro, driving it briefly down to 118, if I recall correctly.

No telling how long this QE ride will last.

What’s reasonably certain is the Fed will do what it can to keep rates low until it looks like it’s meeting at least one of its dual mandates.

Asians Gird for Bubble Threat, Criticize Fed Move

By Michael Heath

November 4 Bloomberg) — Asia-Pacific officials are preparing
for stronger currencies and asset-price inflation as they blamed
the U.S. Federal Reserve’s expanded monetary stimulus for
threatening to escalate an inflow of capital into the region.

Chinese central bank adviser Xia Bin said Fed quantitative
easing is “uncontrolled” money printing,
and Japan’s Prime
Minister Naoto Kan cited the U.S. pursuing a “weak-dollar
policy.”
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority warned the city’s
property prices could surge and Malaysia’s central bank chief
said nations are prepared to act jointly on capital flows.

“Extra liquidity due to quantitative easing will spill
into Asian markets,”
said Patrick Bennett, a Hong Kong-based
strategist at Standard Bank Group Ltd. “It will put increased
pressure on all currencies to appreciate, the yuan in particular

has been appreciating at a slower rate than others.”

The International Monetary Fund last month urged Asia-
Pacific nations to withdraw policy stimulus to head off asset-
price pressures, as their world-leading economies draw capital
because of low interest rates in the U.S. and other advanced
countries. Today’s reactions of regional policy makers reflect
the international ramifications of the Fed’s decision yesterday
to inject $600 billion into the U.S. economy.