Deficit Archive
Retail hiring, Alaska
Deficit
Dec 10, 2015
November Retail Hiring Falls To 4-Year Low – 5% Fewer Than One Year Ago As it says, Alaska is not alone, as spending cuts and tax increases due to the oil price collapse continue into next year: Alaska governor proposes first income tax in 35 years Dec 9 (AP) — Alaska Gov.
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Mtg Purchase Apps, Saudi Pricing History, China
So much for housing leading the way up- looks to have gone from flat to down: MBA Mortgage Applications For the most part Saudis have been lowering premiums and increasing discounts which causes prices to fall to get their sales up to their pumping capacity: Not without a bit of pain, which
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Oil Prices, RT Interview, Revenue Misses
No letup yet as Saudi discounts continue: My RT interview on the price of oil here. Seems suddenly everyone is missing on revenues? Total sales (less inventory draw down)= GDP AT&T warns of revenue miss in Q3
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Mtg Purchase Apps, Arch. Billings, Japan Exports, Bernie Article
After the up and down in front of the change in regulations new purchase apps are, so far, lower than before: Fits with the permit spike/decline story, and there was also this note: The multi-family residential market was negative for the eighth consecutive month – and this might be indicating a slowdown
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Producer Prices, Retail sales, Business inventories, Atlanta Fed, Debt Ceiling Comment
Deficit, GDP, Government Spending
Oct 14, 2015
Gives the Fed another dovish data point: PPI-FD Highlights Producer prices show wide weakness and may raise talk that deflationary pressures are building, not easing. The PPI-FD fell 0.5 percent in September which is just below Econoday’s low estimate for minus 0.4. Year-on-year, producer prices are falling deeper into the negative column
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China trade, WRKO interview
Total trade is down, but the surplus is still high and holding, which ultimately supports the currency: China : Merchandise Trade Balance Highlights Every month China’s trade data are reported in both the renminbi and U.S. dollars by the National Bureau of Statistics. The renminbi report comes out first, followed about an
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Mtg purchase applications, UK industrial production, Saudi visit, US budget deficit
Deficit, GDP, Government Spending
Sep 09, 2015
Purchase apps came in 41% higher than a year ago, but have been going nowhere for several months and now look to be drifting lower, as in any case they remain at seriously depressed levels: MBA Mortgage Applications Highlights After jumping 17.0 percent in the prior week on a rate-related surge in
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Krugman on debt
Debt Is Good By Paul Krugman Aug 21 (NYT) — Rand Paul said something funny the other day. No, really — although of course it wasn’t intentional. On his Twitter account he decried the irresponsibility of American fiscal policy, declaring, “The last time the United States was debt free was 1835.” Which
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Federal Deficit below last year
Deficit, GDP, Government Spending
Jun 07, 2015
The budget deficit is now looking too small to sustain growth, as evidenced by the incoming data over the last 6 months. The problem is, as always, unspent income- aka demand leakages- must be offset by agents spending more than their incomes or the output goes unsold. And collapsing GDP growth and
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Fed’s Beige Book
The sharp reduction in oil capex that was driving the economy has predictably shown up first in the oil states like Texas, Oklahoma, North Dakota, etc. Just as these states led on the way up, they are leading on the way down as well, with that weakness working its way to the
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