Mosler proposal for the housing agencies

Have the Fed Financing Bank fund the agencies with fixed rate amortizing term funding.

Have the FFB eat the convexity and allow prepayments of advances at par as mtgs pay down.

Have Congress set the FFB’s advance rate for the mtgs for public purpose.

Have fed member banks originate agency mtgs on
Congressionally dictated terms as agents for the agencies on a fee basis.

Have the agencies hold all these newly issues loans in portfolio.

Have the banks do the servicing for a fee.

This would lower mtg rates maybe 1%.

Have the agencies offer refi’s for existing agency loans at current rates without new appraisals or income statements.

Am i missing anything?

Feel free to distribute!

FNMA tightens lending requirements


[Skip to the end]

That nagging feeling that 0 rates are deflationary keeps lingering.

The following FNMA news might be even more deflationary than the Dubai news over time. I wonder if Congress was involved in this decision, as FNMA is a public/private partnership:

Fannie Mae to Tighten Lending Standards: Report

Oct. 25 (Reuters) —Fannie Mae plans to raise minimum credit score requirements next month and limit the amount of overall debt that borrowers can carry relative to their incomes, The Washington Post reported on Thursday.

Starting December 12, the automated system that the government-controlled mortgage finance company uses to approve loans will reject borrowers who have at least a 20 percent down payment but whose credit scores fall below 620 out of 850, the newspaper reported. Previously, the cut-off was 580.

Also, for borrowers with a 20 percent down payment, no more than 45 percent of their gross monthly income can go toward paying debts, the newspaper said.

A Fannie Mae spokesman told the newspaper that the limits reflect the company’s recent experience.

Loans to people with credit scores below 620 fell seriously behind at a rate approximately nine times higher than other loans purchased in the same period, Fannie Mae spokesman Brian Faith said. Loans taken out by borrowers with lots of debt also suffer higher levels of serious delinquency, he said.

“It’s not enough to help borrowers buy a home — we must also ensure that they can stay in the home over the long term,” Faith said in a statement to The Washington Post.


[top]

renting foreclosed houses to former owners


[Skip to the end]

I proposed this when the crisis first hit. Too late for millions of people in thousands of neighborhoods:

“Fannie Mae, the country’s largest mortgage holder, announced today that it is adopting a version of a “right to rent” policy under which foreclosed homeowners will be allowed to stay in their home paying the market rent. Under Fannie Mae’s Deed for Lease Program, foreclosed homeowners will be offered a lease of up to one year, in exchange for turning over the deed to their home. The lease will be at the prevailing market rent.”


[top]

Bloomberg: Thoughts on Treasury plan


[Skip to the end]

My take is an RTC type solution only works when the government owns the institutions, so this will probably be different.

I suspect it will be more like Japan, where the government bought a new class of preferred stock in the banks to add capital.

Whatever they will do will cause credit spreads to come in, which will make the assets of AIG far more valuable and probably result in a ‘profit’ for the government.

Unsold Lehman assets will also appreciate.

More comments below:

Paulson, Bernanke Push New Plan to Cleanse Books

by Alison Vekshin and Dawn Kopecki

Government Options
Options that U.S. officials are considering include establishing an $800 billion fund to purchase so-called failed assets

I see this as problematic as above and as below.

and a separate $400 billion pool at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to insure investors in money-market funds, said two people briefed by congressional staff. They spoke on condition of anonymity because the plans may change.

This puts money funds on par with insured bank deposits. Seems no need for both.

Instead, better to remove the $100,000 cap on bank deposit insurance to allow large investors use bank deposits safely. There is no economic reason for the low cap in any case.

Another possibility is using Fannie and Freddie, the federally chartered mortgage-finance companies seized by the government last week, to buy assets, one of the people said.

That’s already in place. They already have treasury funding to buy mortgages.

“We will try to put a bill together and do it fairly quickly,” House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, a Massachusetts Democrat, said after the meeting. “We are not in a position to give you any specifics right now” on the proposals, he said when asked about the potential cost.

The likelihood of the government taking on yet more devalued assets, after the seizures of Fannie, Freddie and AIG and the earlier assumption by the Fed of $29 billion of Bear Stearns Cos. investments, may spur concern about its own balance sheet.

We need to get past this concern about government solvency. It’s simply not an operational issue.

Debt Concern
The Treasury has pledged to buy up to $200 billion of Fannie and Freddie stock to keep them solvent, while the Fed agreed Sept. 16 to an $85 billion bridge loan to AIG. The Treasury also plans to buy $5 billion of mortgage-backed debt this month under an emergency program.

“It sounds like there’s going to be a giant dumpster for illiquid assets,” said Mirko Mikelic, senior portfolio manager at Fifth Third Asset Management in Grand Rapids, Michigan, which oversees $22 billion in assets. “It brings up the more troubling question of whether the U.S. government is big enough to take on this whole problem, relative” to the size of the American economy, he said.

This is ridiculous and part of the problem that got us to this point.


[top]

Bloomberg: Stern Says Fed Rate Rise `Can’t Wait’ for Markets to Stabilize


[Skip to the end]

A minority view but a growing one.

They are thinking the low rates are destabilizing the housing and financial markets via the weak USD channel.

Stern Says Fed Rate Rise `Can’t Wait’ for Markets to Stabilize

by Vivien Lou Chen
(Bloomberg) Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Gary Stern said the central bank shouldn’t wait for financial and housing markets to stabilize before raising interest rates.

“We can’t wait until we clearly observe the financial markets at normal, the economy growing robustly, and so on and so forth, before we reverse course” and begin raising rates, Stern said in an interview in Minneapolis today. “Our actions will affect the economy in the future, not at the moment. Forecasts play a critical role.”

The comments by Stern, a voter on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee this year, may reinforce traders’ forecasts for a rate increase by year-end. Stern indicated that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s rescue plan for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will help prevent a deeper housing and economic slump.

“We’re pretty well-positioned for the downside risks we might encounter from here,” said Stern, 63, the Fed’s longest-serving policy maker. “I worry a little bit more about the prospects for inflation.”

The bank president compared the current credit crunch to the one in the early 1990s, which restrained economic growth for almost three years. That’s a more sanguine assessment than others have. The International Monetary Fund has said it’s the worst since the Great Depression and former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said it’s the most intense in more than half a century.

17-Year High
Stern spoke two days after government figures showed consumer prices surged 5 percent over the past year, the biggest jump since 1991. Excluding food and fuel, so-called core prices rose 2.4 percent, higher than the 2.1 percent average over the last five years.

“Headline inflation is clearly too high,” Stern said. He added that he’s concerned that will feed through to core prices and public expectations for inflation.

As long as energy and food costs level off, core inflation ought to slow over the next year, Stern said.

Crude oil has surged 73 percent in the past 12 months, and rose to a record of $147.27 a barrel on July 11. Worldwide, prices for food commodities such as wheat and rice were 43 percent higher in April than a year earlier, according to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization.

Stern declined to say when policy makers may shift toward raising rates. The FOMC halted its series of seven reductions last month, after reducing the benchmark rate to 2 percent, from 5.25 percent last September.

Rate Outlook
Traders estimate 58 percent odds that the Fed will boost its main rate at least a quarter point from 2 percent in October, after keeping borrowing costs unchanged in August and September. There’s a 73 percent probability of a move by year-end, futures prices show.

Minutes of the Fed’s June 24-25 gathering, released July 15, showed that some Fed officials favored an increase in rates “very soon.” Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke this week said there are risks to both inflation and growth, abandoning the FOMC’s June assessment that the threat of a “substantial” downturn had receded.

“This is a very challenging policy environment,” Stern said today. “I don’t think we ought to pretend that” an end to the credit crisis “won’t take some time,” he said.

The Fed on July 13 offered Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac access to direct loans from the central bank in case the firms needed the financing before Congress acts on Paulson’s rescue plan. The Treasury chief is seeking power to make unlimited loans to and purchase equity in the companies if needed.

Stern said the proposals are “clearly designed to bolster Fannie and Freddie.”

Stern is the only FOMC member who’s served with three chairmen: Paul Volcker, Greenspan and Bernanke. He became the bank’s president in 1985.


[top]