US assures China on debt quality


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A world gone mad!

When China’s US securities mature, the Fed debits their securities account at the Fed and credits their bank account at the Fed.

What’s the fuss???!!!

Treasuries Fall as Stocks Rise, China Comments on Debt Safety

by Susanna Walker

Mar 13 (Bloomberg) — The Obama administration sought to ease Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao’s concern about U.S. government debt, reiterating pledges to cut the budget deficit in half in four years.

“There’s no safer investment in the world than in the United States,” White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said today.

Wen earlier said that China, the U.S. government’s largest creditor, is “worried” about its holdings of Treasuries and wants assurances that the investment is safe. “I request the U.S. to maintain its good credit, to honor its promises and to guarantee the safety of China’s assets,” he said at a press briefing in Beijing.

Wen’s words contributed to a decline in Treasuries, before the losses were recouped. Yields on benchmark 10-year notes rose as high as 2.96 percent, from 2.85 percent late yesterday, and were at 2.87 percent at 3:17 p.m. in New York.

White House National Economic Council Director Lawrence Summers, asked today about Wen’s remarks, said overseas “confidence” in Treasuries would be hurt without the administration’s steps to end the economy’s decline.

President Barack Obama is relying on China to sustain buying of Treasuries amid record amounts of debt sales to fund a $787 billion stimulus package. China held $696 billion in U.S. Treasury debt as of Dec. 31, more than Japan’s holdings of $578 billion. The total foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury debt at the end of last year was $3.1 trillion.

Treasury’s Response

The Treasury also offered a response that sought to reassure investors.
“The U.S. Treasury market remains the deepest and most liquid market in the world,” Treasury spokeswoman Heather Wong said in an e-mailed statement. “President Obama is committed to taking the steps necessary to restore growth and put this country on the path of fiscal sustainability, including cutting the long- term deficit in half over the next four years.”


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2009-03-16 USER


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Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Mar)

Survey -30.80
Actual -38.23
Prior -34.65
Revised n/a

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Mar)

the

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Mar)

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Net Long Term TIC Flows (Jan)

Survey $45.0B
Actual -$43.0B
Prior $34.8B
Revised $34.7B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Jan)

Survey n/a
Actual -$148.9B
Prior $74.0B
Revised $86.2B

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TIC ALLX (Jan)

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TIC TABLE 1 (Jan)

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TIC TABLE 2 (Jan)

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TIC TABLE 3 (Jan)

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Industrial Production MoM (Feb)

Survey -1.3%
Actual -1.4%
Prior -1.8%
Revised -1.9%

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Industrial Production YoY (Feb)

Survey n/a
Actual -11.2%
Prior -10.1%
Revised n/a

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Capacity Utilization (Feb)

Survey 71%
Actual 70.9%
Prior 72.0%
Revised 71.9%

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Feb)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Feb)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Feb)

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NAHB Housing Market Index (Mar)

Survey 9
Actual 9
Prior 9
Revised n/a

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NAHB Housing Market Index TABLE 1 (Mar)

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NAHB Housing Market Index TABLE 2 (Mar)


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2009-03-16 CREDIT


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Spreads narrowing as the Obamaboom takes hold?

IG On-the-run Spreads (Mar 16)

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IG6 Spreads (Mar 16)

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IG7 Spreads (Mar 16)

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IG8 Spreads (Mar 16)

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IG9 Spreads (Mar 16)


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Brazil Discovery May Contain 8 Billion Barrels of Oil


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About 90 days of world consumption.

Exxon’s Brazil Discovery May Contain 8 Billion Barrels of Oil

by Joe Carroll

Mar 13 (Bloomberg) — Exxon Mobil Corp.’s oil discovery off the coast of Brazil may hold enough crude to rival the nearby Tupi prospect as the Western Hemisphere’s largest find in three decades.


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Mark to market fundamentals


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Mark to market is out of context with our banking model that incorporates government funding of bank liabilities for the further public purpose of lending based on credit analysis.

Mark to market is in order for non banks that rely on private funding.

Current policy is the result of leadership that doesn’t understand the monetary system.


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Barker Says BOE Should Print Money


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And yet another central banker who doesn’t understand monetary operations…

Has to be a new low for the BOE.

Barker Says BOE Should Print Money as U.K. Recession Worsens

by Jennifer Ryan and Brian Swint

Mar 13 (Bloomberg) — Bank of England policy maker Kate Barker said the bank’s decision to buy assets with newly created money is necessary to prevent deflation as Britain’s recession shows signs of worsening.

Printing money “is the best course in order to achieve our objective of keeping inflation to target in the medium term.” “The downside risks to growth, and therefore to inflation, identified in the February inflation report were in danger of crystallizing,” she said. Barker said the impact of the reduction in the benchmark to lower levels had become “successively reduced” with each cut, and lower rates on their own would be insufficient to revive growth.


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Imperfect competition in the copper markets?


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Copper fell with the Master’s inventory liquidation but then bottomed about the same time crude did. While gasoline demand started recovering from its modest declines back then it is doubtful if the same has happened with copper, as construction has continued to decline since then.

Market action feels like the producers got together and decided to cut back on supply.

Political leaders who understood markets would be looking into it.

Investors who recognize the economic value of oligopoly collusion might also look into it.


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