Daily Archive: Friday, November 26, 2010

FMOC Minutes

New Forecasts (central tendency and range of forecasts) in Table 1 below: Long-Run inflation forecast of 1.6-2.0% is basically their target; 2011 and 2012 unemployment forecasts revised up by 0.6-0.7%. Note that low-end of GDP forecast for 2011 is 2.5%. This is above many other forecasters. Interesting Observations from FRB Staff; Outlook ...Read More

Next Debt Crisis May Start in Washington: Bair

She’s as much a part of the problem as any of them. Also, she continues to support taxing banks for FDIC losses, which works counter to Fed rate setting policy. Across the board taxes on banks hike rates charged to borrowers, while the Fed is trying to get them down. Also, why ...Read More

European Debt/GDP ratios – the core issue

Review: Financially, the euro zone member nations have put themselves in the position of the US States. Their spending is revenue constrained. They must tax or borrow to fund their spending. The ECB is in the position of the Fed. They are not revenue constrained. Operationally, they spend by changing numbers on ...Read More

China May Set 4% Inflation Target for Next Year, Tighten Policy

Ch Headlines: China May Set 4% Inflation Target for Next Year, Tighten Policy Inflation Expectations Rise on Wages, Resource Prices, PBOC Says Setting inflation targets, worrying about inflation expectations, reserve requirements, etc. It’s all monetarist nonsense from the western educated kids now in charge. ...Read More

China, Russia quit dollar for transactions

Doesn’t matter, though most everyone thinks it does. What matter is what currency a nation saves in, not the numeraire for transactions. So good this happened, so everyone can get past it and stop worrying about it. China, Russia quit dollar By Su Qiang and Li Xiaokun November 24 (China Daily) — ...Read More