FRB press release–reg D and remuneration


[Skip to the end]

This will allow them to raise rates simply by paying interest on reserves and not require them to first ‘unwind’ their portfolio as was the case in Japan.

Press Release

May 20 — The Federal Reserve Board on Wednesday announced the approval of final amendments to Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) to liberalize the types of transfers consumers can make from savings deposits and to make it easier for community banks that use correspondent banks to receive interest on excess balances held at Federal Reserve Banks.

The amendments would also ensure that correspondents that are not eligible to receive interest on their own balances at Reserve Banks pass back to their respondents any interest earned on required reserve balances held on behalf of those respondents. The Board is also making other clarifying changes to Regulation D and Regulation I (Issue and Cancellation of Federal Reserve Bank Capital Stock).

The Board has revised Regulation D’s restrictions on the types and number of transfers and withdrawals that may be made from savings deposits. The final amendments increase from three to six the permissible monthly number of transfers or withdrawals from savings deposits by check, debit card, or similar order payable to third parties. Technological advancements have eliminated any rational basis for the distinction between transfers by these means and other types of pre-authorized or automatic transfers subject to the six-per-month limitation.

The Board also approved final amendments to Regulation D to authorize the establishment of excess balance accounts at Federal Reserve Banks. Excess balance accounts are limited-purpose accounts for maintaining excess balances of one or more institutions that are eligible to earn interest on their Federal Reserve balances. Each participant in an excess balance account will designate an institution to act as agent (which may be the participant’s current pass-through correspondent) for purposes of managing the account. The Board is authorizing excess balance accounts to alleviate pressures on correspondent-respondent business relationships in the current unusual financial market environment, which has led some respondents to prefer holding their excess balances in an account at the Federal Reserve, rather than selling them through a correspondent in the federal funds market. A correspondent could hold its respondents’ excess balances in its own account at the Federal Reserve Bank; however, doing so may adversely affect the correspondent’s regulatory leverage ratio. As market conditions evolve, the Board will evaluate the continuing need for excess balance accounts.

In October 2008, the Board adopted an interim final rule amending Regulation D that directed Federal Reserve Banks to pay interest on balances held by eligible institutions in accounts at Reserve Banks. The final rule revises those provisions as they apply to balances of respondents maintained by “ineligible” pass-through correspondents–that is, entities such as nondepository institutions that serve as correspondents but are not eligible to receive interest on the balances they maintain on their own behalf at the Federal Reserve. Specifically, the final rule provides that only required reserve balances maintained in an ineligible correspondent’s account on behalf of its respondents will receive interest. Ineligible correspondents will be required to pass back that interest to their respondents. Both required reserve and excess balances in the account of an eligible pass-through correspondent will continue to receive interest and those correspondents are permitted, but not required, to pass back that interest to their respondents.

The final amendments to Regulations D and I will become effective 30 days after publication in the Federal Register. Excess balance accounts will be available for the reserve maintenance period beginning July 2, 2009.


[top]

Starts/Permits/Chain Store

Karim writes:

  • Safe to say we have corrected for the 65.6% rise in multi-family starts in February as we have now had back-to-back months of -46.1% (today’s #) and -23.0%
  • Single family starts up 2.8% in April and overall starts -12.8%
  • Permits, a leading indicator of starts, -3.3% overall, +3.6% single family, and -19.9% multi-family
  • Single family starts -45.6% y/y and multi-family -72.3% y/y
  • Chain store sales look down about 0.2% m/m so far; important as May represents peak month for stimulus measures as it relates to personal income

Singh’s ‘Game Changer’ Win to Unlock India Economy; Shares Soar


[Skip to the end]

Make room for another billion consumers increasing their resource consumption:

India Stocks, Rupee, Bonds Surge on Congress Win; Shares Halted

by Pooja Thakur

May 18 (Bloomberg) — India’s benchmark stock index jumped
a record 17 percent, bonds rose and the rupee gained the most in
two decades after Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s Congress Party
won nationwide elections.

Share trading was halted for the first time ever after the
Sensitive Index, or Sensex, breached a daily limit set by the
market regulator. The rupee climbed 3.1 percent against the
dollar and the benchmark bond yield fell 16 basis points, the
biggest decline in a month.

“Markets are euphoric,” said Rahul Chadha, the Hong Kong-
based head of Indian equities at Mirae Asset Global Investment,
with $46 billion in global equities. “The focus by federal and
state governments on development will lead to a structural re-
rating of India.”

The ruling Congress party won the most seats since 1991,
when then-finance minister Singh abandoned Soviet-style state
planning and introduced free-market reforms that have helped
India’s economy quadruple in size. With almost twice as many
seats as the main opposition, Singh, 76, may further reduce
barriers to foreign investment in insurers and retailers, plans
that had been frustrated by communist lawmakers.

Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd., whose turbines and
generators light up three of every four homes in India, leaped
33 percent. The Congress victory will clear the way for the
government to proceed with billions of dollars in pending orders
and should also give foreign investors confidence in the country,
Bharat Chairman K. Ravi Kumar said in a telephone interview.

Kamal Nath, trade minister in the outgoing administration,
said in an interview the government “should aim” to boost
growth to 8 percent in the business year that started April 1.
The $1.2 trillion economy is expected by the central bank to
expand 6 percent, compared with average growth of 8.6 percent in
the previous five years.


[top]

Weber Says ECB Monetary Policy Increasingly Effective


[Skip to the end]

They wouldn’t dare give the rising budget deficits any credit.

Weber Says ECB Monetary Policy Increasingly Effective

by Christian Vits

May 18 (Bloomberg) — European Central Bank Governing
Council member Axel Weber said the bank’s monetary policy is
increasingly stabilizing the economy.

“Monetary policy is contributing significantly to the
stabilization of the economy and its effectiveness is
increasing,” Weber, who heads Germany’s Bundesbank, said in a
speech in Dusseldorf today. After a “massive” reduction of the
ECB’s benchmark interest rate, the present level of 1 percent
“is appropriate in the current environment,” he said.

In additional to cutting its key rate by 3.25 percentage
points since early October, the ECB has announced it will buy 60
billion euros ($81 billion) of covered bonds and extend the
maturities in its unlimited refinancing operations to 12 months.

Weber said providing banks with as much money as the need
is “of particular importance” and extending the maturities of
the loans “certainly will push the yield curve even lower.”
The plan to buy covered bonds is in line with the ECB’s strategy
of supporting the banking channel, he said.


[top]

Japan’s MOF land sales faltering


[Skip to the end]

This selling of land is a directly deflationary/contractionary policy, and all because they think the government needs the funds.

Japan’s MOF land sales faltering

May 17 (Nikkei) — The Ministry of Finance is having trouble selling public land, even in metropolitan Tokyo, amid deterioration of Japan’s real estate market in the wake of the global financial crisis.

Market sluggishness is complicating MOF plans to raise funds for fiscal rehabilitation through sale of such land, including properties acquired as in-kind tax payments, with a series of auctions drawing no bidders.

Last December, the ministry planned to sell a huge parcel of 7.7 hectares in a coastal area of Chiba. Some condominium developers had expressed interest in the property during a pre-auction briefing.

But the MOF, which manages public land, called off the auction at the last moment, realizing that no bid would be made.

The Chiba lot holds some 1,300 abandoned apartments which previously housed government workers, but have remained vacant since March 2006.

As recently as 2007, real estate developers flocked to build condos on available land in a competitive wave extending to Chiba. At that time, the vast coastal property, a rare offering, could have sold “on the spot,” said an official involved in the canceled auction.

Government-own plots often sell well because their titles are usually free of unsettled claims. This is especially the case in big cities and their surrounding areas, which contain active real estate markets.

But there remains a scarcity of buyers because the global economic downturn has forced many financial institutions to curtail financing of real estate deals.

In recent MOF auctions, the ratio of successful offers in Tokyo’s 23 wards plunged to just above 50% in the second half of fiscal 2007 from 100% in the first half. And the ratio fell to nearly 30% in the first half of fiscal 2008 and 24% in the second half.

A plan worked out by the ministry in 2007 envisions raising 2.1 trillion yen by the end of fiscal 2015 through the sale of public assets, such as vacant land like the lot in coastal Chiba. The proceeds would be used to finance fiscal rehabilitation.

But a substantial delay in implementation appears unavoidable due to the weakness of the property market.
Private-sector auctions often resort to “bulk sales” to stimulate demand for unpopular parcels of land by combining them with lots expected to draw strong demand. The ministry does not have this option, as government-owned lots must be sold at “fair prices” under the public finance law.

Another reason for the difficulty in attracting buyers is that the ministry is eager for higher-priced deals and often “lacks flexibility,” says a real-estate appraiser.

Prolonged vacancies of public land may not only depress the local real estate market, but also cause security problems in some cases. In addition, the government’s cost of managing unused properties continues to escalate.

When an advisory panel to the finance minister convened in late February to discuss the sale of public land, MOF officials complained they are caught in a catch-22 — raising sorely needed funds through property sales is a thorny process amid real estate market conditions that continue to deteriorate.

(The Nikkei May 15 morning edition)


[top]

Roubini on Chinese Reserve Currency


[Skip to the end]

(email exchange)

>   On Fri, May 15, 2009 at 9:22 AM, wrote:

>   Hi Warren. Roubini (the contemporary Dr. Doom) is suggesting this morning that
>   the Chinese currency should be the new global reserve currency.
>   
>   Don’t you need a country that runs an external payments deficit (or at least not a
>   surplus)?

Helps a lot! Unless someone out there wants to get short your currency so everyone else can get long!

>   that also has deep and unrestricted capital markets?

At least not restricted to the point no one else can hold financial assets denominated in your currency.

The other big thing that helps is that they all want to export to you.

The word ‘reserve currency’ has come to mean others use it as their fx reserves?

If so, they first must want to have fx reserves, and the usual reason for that is to support their exporters to the region of the ‘reserve currency.’

So he’s saying China is scheming to be a major net importer? Doubt it, though that’s what I would do if I were them.


[top]

Obama Again Sides with the Deficit Terrorists


[Skip to the end]

It’s for real – Obama’s in the deficit terrorist camp, using the communication skills he learned in his rhetoric 101 class.

Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ‘Unsustainable’

by Roger Runningen and Hans Nichols

May 14 (Bloomberg) — President Barack Obama, calling current deficitspending “unsustainable,” warned of skyrocketing interest rates for consumers if the U.S. continues to finance government by borrowing from other countries.

  1. It’s domestic budget surpluses that are unsustainable- they remove savings.
     
  2. Interest rates are set by the Fed, not the market or the deficit. Japan’s deficits have been triple ours and their rates lower for decades, for just one (unnecessary) example.
     
  3. The US government is not dependent on borrowing from other countries in order to spend.
     
  4. “We can’t keep on just borrowing from China,” Obama said at a town-hall meeting in Rio Rancho, New Mexico, outside Albuquerque. “We have to pay interest on that debt, and that means we are mortgaging our children’s future with more and more debt.”

    That’s a load of inapplicable rhetoric for the purpose of terrorizing uninformed Americans.

    Holders of U.S. debt will eventually “get tired” of buying it, causing interest rates on everything from auto loans to home mortgages to increase, Obama said. “It will have a dampening effect on our economy.”

    Interest rates are set by the Fed, not by those who elect to buy Treasury securities.

    The president pledged to work with Congress to shore up entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare and said he was confident that the House and Senate would pass health-care overhaul bills by August.

    “Most of what is driving us into debt is health care, so we have to drive down costs,” he said.

    Whatever costs he’s got in mind (insurance, drug company markups, etc.) should be minimized in any case.

    It’s not about the ‘debt’.

    The biggest risk to our economy is the risk of Obama succeeding in enacting measures to reduce the deficit.


    [top]