Turkey Masses Troops on Syrian Border; Syria Slams Turkey

This is very serious.

And if Turkey intervenes and topples the regime it may be a case of out of the frying pan and into the fire.

Turkey Masses Troops on Syrian Border; Syria Slams Turkey

By Selcan Hacaoglu

October 9 (Bloomberg) — Turkey’s top general inspected newly deployed units on the Syrian border Tuesday following six days of firing by Turkish batteries against President Bashar al-Assad’s forces.

Turkey has deployed additional tanks, howitzers, and missile defense systems on the border since a Syrian artillery shell killed five people in the town of Akcakale on Oct. 3, prompting parliament to give the government a one-year mandate to send forces into Syria if necessary.

General Necdet Ozel, chief of the general staff, today inspected troops in Hatay province, which was hit by seven artillery shells or mortar rounds in the past week, state-run TRT television said.

General Hayri Kivrikoglu, chief of the land forces, accompanied Ozel along with several other senior officers, the state-run Anatolia agency said. Ozel will inspect troops in Akcakale tomorrow, TRT television said.

Tensions between the two countries have risen during the 19-month rebellion against Assad’s government, with Turkey offering support to the rebels.

These worsened in June, when Syria shot down a Turkish warplane it said was in its airspace and on Oct. 3, when the Syrian shell fired over the border killed two women and three children in Akcakale, triggering the cross-border exchanges.

Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu told state-run television on Oct. 6 that Syrian Vice President Farouk al-Sharaa hadn’t taken part in massacres and could serve as interim leader if Assad leaves office.

‘Confusion, Blundering’

Syria’s Information Minister Omran al-Zoubi said yesterday that Davutoglu’s remarks reflect “obvious political and diplomatic confusion and blundering,” Syria’s state-run SANA news agency said.

“Turkey isn’t the Ottoman Sultanate; the Turkish Foreign Ministry doesn’t name custodians in Damascus, Mecca, Cairo, and Jerusalem,” he said.

Syrian forces have continued firing at rebels along the border even though Turkey has responded to artillery shells or mortars landing inside its territory.

At least 27 schools along the border areas in Akcakale remain closed due to fears they could be hit by an errant shell, Anatolia said today.

The two countries share a 911-kilometer (566 miles) border. Turkey, a member of NATO, has a 720,000-strong military, the second-largest army within the alliance.

Deputy Prime Minister Bulent Arinc said late yesterday that although Turkey has no intention to go to war with Syria, it is determined to use the mandate if needed.

‘Solid Ground’

“Concerning Syria, primarily in the face of international law, Turkey will continue to walk on solid ground,” Anatolia quoted Deputy Prime Minister Ali Babacan as saying during a news conference today.

Turkey shelters nearly 100,000 Syrian refugees in 15 camps along the frontier. Syria says Turkey lets rebels use the camps as a safe haven.

More than 30,000 people have died in Syria since the rebellion against Assad began in March 2011, according to the British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

The Local Coordination Committees in Syria said 31 people have died so far today, including 28 in Damascus and its suburbs.

Jackson Hole speech

The Chairman seems to be well aware of the upturn in housing, which he mentioned twice. But he was careful to not reveal an upbeat attitude that he knows would cause rates to spike in expectation of the Fed ‘normalizing’ policy with ‘neutral’ being a Fed funds rate maybe 1% over the inflation rate, or something like that.

In other words, he wants longer term rates, and mtg rates in particular, to stay down for now, which causes him to guard any optimism he may have, and then some.

It falls under ‘managing expectations’ and my best guess is he’s waiting for unemployment to fall below 8% before he publicly becomes more optimistic.

“Key sectors such as manufacturing, housing, and international trade have strengthened, firms’ investment in equipment and software has rebounded, and conditions in financial and credit markets have improved.”

“Rather than attributing the slow recovery to longer-term structural factors, I see growth being held back currently by a number of headwinds. First, although the housing sector has shown signs of improvement, housing activity remains at low levels and is contributing much less to the recovery than would normally be expected at this stage of the cycle.”

2013 TED Prize Nomination Acknowledgement

>   
>   (email exchange)
>   
>   On Fri, Aug 24, 2012 at 6:25 PM, Barry wrote:
>   
>   FYI.
>   
>   Cross fingers!
>   

Thank you for your 2013 TED Prize Nomination.
Your nomination and nominee will be reviewed over the coming weeks and you will be notified as to the success of your nomination by mid-September.

With best wishes,

The TED Prize team

http://www.tedprize.org


Best,
The TED Prize Team

interesting comment on my blog

Mosler knows!
Thayer knew!
Ruml knew!
Jim Lacey apparently knows, and so did a couple of economists that helped the USA prosecute and win WW2: Robert Nathan and Simon Kuznets.

Keep from All Thoughtful Men: How U.S. Economists Won World War II

I got to page 34.

“Orthodox economic thinking at the beginning of World War II held that taxes should finance wars on a pay-as-you-go basis.”

A fascinating book about what looks to be how MMT won the War. I’m still reading.
And I’m betting that we didn’t need to use all of Great Britain’s gold that they shipped to New York at the start of the war….

MMT in Italy

Translation:
The national launching of the book by W. Mosler – The Seven Deadly Innocent Frauds

MI – Feast of the Southern Italians (Meriondalisti italiani)
MMT Democracy
Modern Monetary Theory
To build an economy that saves lives, saves the state, and saves democracy
A state with sovereign money, legitimized by the citizens, that spends with a positive deficit for the benefits of us 99%, that is the only true democracy.
Daniele Basciu of MMT Democracy – Italy will be at the event in Vasto, CH
The national launching of the book by W. Mosler – The Seven Deadly Innocent Frauds

Fred Thayer

Sadly, looks like Fred passed away about 6 years ago.

I got to know him pretty well working with him on the concepts in the paper, and I picked up a lot of little bits and pieces info on capitalism I still find myself using now and then. One that comes to mind is that one of the costs of capitalism is the scrap heap of failed enterprises, for example, which represents real costs that didn’t work out.

Fred Thayer / Pitt professor and prolific author of letters to the editor

By Joe Smydo

To take a lesson from Fred Thayer, one didn’t have to be his student at the University of Pittsburgh’s Graduate School of Public and International Affairs.

In newspaper op-ed pieces and letters to the editor, Dr. Thayer offered sharply worded commentary on economics, deregulation, unemployment, transportation, the business of professional football and merit pay for elected officials (often peppering his sentences with parenthetical remarks).

The professor wrote to academic journals, elected officials and faculty colleagues, too, cajoling, criticizing and pushing audiences toward what he considered more enlightened thinking and more rational public policy.

“Competitive bidding on government contracts never works well because it cannot work well,” he said in a Nov. 6, 1989, letter to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. “When many contractors seek business (the process calls for numerous bids), each bidder knows he must either lie to win (by offering an unreasonably low price), bribe an official or join with other bidders to illegally divide the business. Unfortunately, only bribes and collusion produce high-quality work.”

Dr. Thayer, 82, of Mt. Lebanon, died Saturday at Mercy Hospital following a stroke. His wife, Carolyn Easley Thayer, called him a “very brilliant, simple man.”

Not everyone enjoyed his advice. “But most people took it in good stride,” said a longtime Pitt colleague, Professor Jerome B. McKinney.

Frederick Clifton Thayer Jr. was born Sept. 6, 1924, in Baltimore, the son of Frederick Sr. and Marian Walter Thayer. The family moved to Pittsburgh, and Dr. Thayer graduated from South Hills High School in 1942.

Mrs. Thayer said a last-minute appointment to the U.S. Military Academy at West Point may have been the only way her husband, from a family of modest means, could have gone to college. He graduated in 1945 and spent 25 years in the Army and Air Force, sometimes flying transport planes, other times driving a desk at the Pentagon and the Council on Foreign Relations.

The Thayers met at Ohio State University, when she was a senior and he was working on a master’s degree and teaching in the Reserve Officer Training Corps. They married in October 1952 and had two children, Jeffrey, of Mt. Lebanon, and Sarah Thayer Schneider of Glen Rock, N.J.

Dr. Thayer received his doctorate from the University of Denver in 1963. Jeffrey Thayer recalled his childhood awe at the 750-page document, later published as “Air Transport Policy and National Security.”

“To me, the most important thing about my dad wasn’t what he did but what he said … I just think everything he ever said just made total sense to me,” Mr. Thayer said, recalling the time he was listening to the radio when Steelers broadcaster Myron Cope began discussing a letter the professor sent him.

After retiring a colonel in 1969, Dr. Thayer joined the Pitt faculty and built a reputation as a fiery advocate for what he considered sound public policy. Students, now some of the region’s leaders, loved him; administrators, who considered him a gadfly, didn’t, Professor Donald M. Goldstein said.

“He had a wicked pen, a poison pen,” Dr. Goldstein said. “We used to tangle, too, but in a nice way.”

Dr. Thayer taught at Pitt until about 1990, then took miscellaneous teaching assignments in the United States and overseas.

“He was always what you might call an individual who took a position that encouraged you to think better or more creatively,” Dr. McKinney said. Sometimes, he said, that meant taking an edgy or unorthodox view.

In his November 1989 newspaper letter, Dr. Thayer argued that low bidders must rely on cost overruns, shoddy work and litigation to make a profit on government contracts. “What we need is legal collusion [planning], with government openly dividing the business among available contractors,” he said.

Dr. Thayer at least once skewered a colleague in print but more often sent colleagues two or three typewritten pages to rebut or enhance a point he heard them make. Dr. McKinney said colleagues sometimes wondered how he had time to write the missives he sent “streaming past your desk.”

Think big deficits cause recessions? Think again!

By Frederick C. Thayer

History of MMT and the euro, 1996 Bretton Woods Conference

Found this on the net in the PK archives.
Shows MMT was on it well before this date.
Feel free to distribute

To: PKT Academics
Re: Bretton Woods Conference

Confirmed attendance includes senior staff from Deutchebank,
Credit Suisse, J.P. Morgan, Banker’s Trust, Salomon Bros,
Lehman Bros, Harvard Management, III, Petrus, Paine Webber,
Paribas, and BZW. A keynote speaker will be Professor Charles
Goodhart from the LSE. Bernard Connolly will be the historian.
Speakers for each topic are currently being arranged.

There is currently room for two academic representatives.
Please contact me at mosler@xxxxxxxx if you have interest.

A FRAMEWORK FOR ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

An Invitational Conference

Bretton Woods, New Hampshire

June 12-15, 1996

The purpose of this conference is to bring together a selected
group of portfolio managers, analysts, researchers
traders, and academics who have a common understanding
of monetary operations.

The objective of this conference is to achieve agreement on the use
of a common conceptual framework for undertaking
contemporary macroeconomic analysis.

Portfolio managers in attendance are responsible for well over
$50 billion in assets. The economists and analysts from the
international dealer community represent some of the world?s
largest and most sophisticated fixed income trading and sales
operations.

We believe that this group has the potential to establish an international
standard for the presentation and analysis of economic data.

Several of the fundamentals are Post Keynesian…

Deposit money is endogenous
Central Banks set short term rates exogenously
Deposits exist solely as the result of loans

Extension of these fundamentals includes…


Internal sovereign debt functions as interest
rate support
Taxes create a demand for the goverment’s
currency
Fiat currency is defined exogenously

Conference Moderator……..Warren B. Mosler

Wednesday, June 12, 1996

11:30 AM Welcome and Introduction
12:00 PM Luncheon
12:30 PM History of the Awareness of Monetary Operations
Charles Goodheart

MONETARY OPERATIONS

1:00 PM Review of the Fundamentals of Monetary Operations
1:30 PM Monetary Policy Options


MACROECONOMIC FUNDAMENTALS

2:00 PM The function of Government Securities
2:30 PM Currency Definition
3:00 PM Fiscal Policy Options and Implications


EXTERNAL DEBT

3:30 PM Review of Current Conditions
4:00 PM Macro-economic Implications
4:30 PM World Bank, IMF Policy Implications
6:00 PM Hor?s d?ouvres
7:00 PM Dinner

THURSDAY, JUNE 13

ESTABLISHING THE FRAMEWORK

9:00 AM Integrating Foreign Trade, Investment, Fiscal and Monetary
Policy
10:00 AM Full Employment, Zero Inflation Model
11:30 AM Lunch

RAMIFICATIONS OF MONETARY UNION

1:00 PM Current Political Situation
Bernard Connolly
2:00 PM Maastricht Fiscal Criteria Implications
3:00 PM Post 1999 Credit Implications
3:30 PM Functionality of the Euro
4:30 PM Drafting a Consensus
6:00 PM Hor’s d’Ouvres
7:00 PM Dinner

FRIDAY, JUNE 14, 1995

Review and Discussion

Warren B. Mosler
Director of Economic Analysis
III Finance

See “Soft Currency Economics:”