Re: Sarkozy Pushes for Abandonment of Dollar as World Reserve Currency


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(email exchange)

The dollar is a world reserve currency only because we are the only ones who ‘allow’ a trade deficit.

With a trade deficit, the rest of world is long your currency.

With a trade surplus, like japan, the world is short your currency.

The eurozone wants a trade surplus and to be a reserve currency.

They are either ignorant of how a monetary system works or have the arrogance of demanding the violation of an accounting identity by decree???

>   
>   On Fri, Nov 14, 2008 at 12:15 AM, Russell wrote:
>   
>   If True … hyper inflation in the pipe.
>   

Sarkozy Pushes for Abandonment of Dollar as World Reserve Currency

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said on Thursday ahead of the G20 meeting of world leaders:

“I am leaving tomorrow for Washington to explain that the dollar cannot claim to be the only currency in the world…, that what was true in 1945 can no longer be true today”.

There have been many previous indications that the dollar would not remain the world’s reserve currency for long. But this is a dramatic statement by a close American ally.

Reading between the lines, I am guessing that Sarkozy is pushing for a shift from the dollar to a basket of currencies as a world reserve standard, instead of a change to a single currency such as the Euro or the Yuan.

But we’ll have to wait and see what Sarkozy is really advocating.


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Sarkozy


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He’s not quite there. Yes, they need a ‘fiscal authority’ but he doesn’t see it’s function as providing the deficit spending necessary to sustain output and growth, though his mention of ‘currency printing’ could be stretched to suggest that. Instead, the focus is on collecting taxes to fund itself:

Agree. Eastern Europe is a huge problem and again much depends on what the Fed does because the ECB can only underwrite this stuff to the extent that the Fed will continue to offer the ECB unlimited swap facilities. Sarkozy gets this. He now recognizes the Achilles Heel at the heart of the EMU:

Speaking to the European Parliament on Tuesday, French President Nicolas Sarkozy said that an “economic government” partnering with the European Central Bank (ECB) was necessary for the continuation of the 15-nation eurozone — the collection of nations within the European Union that uses the euro as currency.

The financial and banking imbroglio consuming Europe has emphasized how the EU and specifically the eurozone — although impressive and supranational — are nonetheless unprepared for, and incapable of handling, wide-ranging economic crises. The European Union is not a superstate, despite the accusations of its detractors or the wishful thinking of its supporters. It does not have a unified decision-making authority on most policy issues except for those concerning the functioning of its common market, and those are primarily non-political.

The establishment of the eurozone is an impressive feat in its own right. It binds together 15 economies within the 27-member union with a common currency and a common central bank. However, the ECB and the eurozone in general lack a number of competencies that, if ever implemented, would have impinged on national sovereignty but would have also made monetary and economic sense. These include taxation, currency “printing”, decision-making on where to funnel funds in times of crises and European-wide bank regulation.

In times of plenty — which the eurozone has experienced for the most part since its inception — it may seem sufficient that the authority of the ECB is strictly limited to keeping inflation under 2 percent (a role inherited from its direct ancestor the German Deutsche Bundesbank). However, the current crisis illustrates the deficiency of this system. Without supranational taxation, the eurozone does not have the ability to make liquidity infusions into the system directly — it simply does not have any real cash of its own. In fact, Europeans have had to depend on the U.S. Federal Reserve for capital through unlimited dollar funds made available Oct. 13. A credit-starved Europe had to draw $250 billion — with hundreds of billions more potentially outstanding — on the first day the Fed announced that swaps would be unlimited.

Even with a taxation system that would supply the ECB with its own pool of funds, someone would still have to make a political decision regarding receivership of those funds.

Sarkozy may have tried to allay these fears by using the word “economic” — highlighting that the authority would not extend beyond the policy realm currently being rocked by the financial crisis. This is a valiant marketing effort for sure, but in reality one cannot separate the political and the economic “government”, especially if the eurozone receives authority over taxation or the ECB becomes responsible for deciding which banks get bailed out or which industries receive loans. Were the Europeans willing to go this far in giving up national sovereignty, they would have done it already.


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