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Both interviews are worth watching:
First interview
Zhang Xin (a very large commercial property developer who’s company is worth $10bn)
“Office is the only property sector which is doing well”
“Residential property development in China has really come to and end.”
“Corruption is everywhere in China…whoever has power is in the position to be corrupt.”
“For a Chinese living in China…if you ask one thing everyone pray[s] for, its democracy…8000 miles away [from the US] people [in China] are looking for it [democracy], longing for it.”
From the second interview
60 minutes: “No nation has ever built so much, so fast.”
Question (Leslie Stahl): ‘How important is real estate to the Chinese economy? Is is central?”
Answer (western investment banker): “Yes, its the main driver of growth and has been for the last few years.”
Question (Leslie Stahl): “Who’s left holding the bag?”
Answer (western investment banker): “there are multiple classes of people who are going to be wiped out by this. People who have invested three generations worth of savings…will see their savings evaporate and then of course there are 50mm construction workers…”
Largest Residential Property developer in China (a $53bn real estate empire)
Question: “Are you the biggest home builder in the world?”
Answer (Wang): “Yes, maybe.”
Question (LS): “A typical apartment in Shanghai cost about 45x the average resident’s annual salary.”
Answer (Wang): “Even higher.”
[the US housing bubble price to income ratio peaked at about 6.6x…]
Question (LS): “Are homes in China too expensive today?”
Answer: (Wang): “Yes”
Question (LS): “What does that mean for your economy if its too expensive for the vast majority of people?”
Answer (Wang): “Dangerous…that’s the bubble…that’s the problem.
Question: “Is there a bubble?”
Answer: “Yes, of course…if it bursts its a disaster.”
MMT to Obama: THERE IS NO LONG TERM DEFICIT PROBLEM!!!!!!
Obama Renews Offer to Cut Social Safety Net in Big Budget Deal
EU Headlines:
Euro-Area Inflation Slowed More Than Estimated in February
With catastrophic unemployment prices are still rising. Seems a rethink of their model assumptions are in order.
ECB’s Constancio Says Barnier Plan Not Enough for Bank Failures
Right, the ECB must insure deposits and ensure liquidity and therefore do the regulation.
Europe Relying too Much on ECB, Fuest Tells Handelsblatt
No, not enough. The ECB, like all CB’s, directly or indirectly, ultimately/necessarily provides unlimited bank liquidity and supports member nation debt.
Euro-Area Unemployment Climbs to Record as Recession Deepens
And they all believe in deficit reduction, including Italy’s ‘anti establishment’ Grillo who’s merely proposed default (aka psi, bond tax) rather than other tax hikes and spending cuts.
German Retail Sales Post Biggest Monthly Jump in Six Years
From low levels for a nation presumably doing ‘very well’. It also highlights fact that any currency union requires some form of ‘fiscal transfers’ to sustain full employment. And unfortunately they don’t understand fiscal transfers for the production of public goods and services in fact imposes a real cost on the region with the high unemployment, and therefore hold back on doing it.
Italy Unemployment Rate Rises to Highest Since at Least 1992
The entire culture is being destroyed. It’s a slow motion train wreck. And all the proposals, including default, only add to the deflationary pressures, making it even worse. Call it a self inflicted crime against humanity.
Student loans have been making a meaningful contribution to aggregate demand. If origination slows it’s another negative for growth and output to add to the tax hikes and spending cuts.
This is not to say I favor the student loan channel for education. Quite the contrary, in fact. But just like the savings and loan credit expansion leg propelled the Reagan years, the .com and y2k credit expansion the Clinton years, and the sub prime credit expansion the Bush years, to a much lesser extent the student loan credit expansion has supported the current modest recovery. And when they end the support ends.
The right way to do it is with a tax cut and/or spending increase, but that’s another story…

The Seven Deadly Innocent Frauds of Economic Policy will be free on Kindle this weekend.