Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 3rd April 2009
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Seems to be leveling off at levels that are comfortable for them as they set price and let quantity adjust.


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Posted in Articles, Oil | No Comments »
Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 3rd April 2009
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Central bank liquidity swaps (13) $309,828 – $17,864
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Posted in Articles, Fed | 1 Comment »
Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 3rd April 2009
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Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (Mar)
| Survey |
-660K |
| Actual |
-663K |
| Prior |
-651K |
| Revised |
n/a |
Karim writes:
- A 663k drop in payrolls and -86k in net revisions is bad enough
- The worst of it is the ongoing collapse in hours-the index of aggregate hours down another 1% last month
- On a work force of 130mm, a 1% drop in hours has the same impact on labor income as a 1.3mm fall in payrolls if total hours were unch
- The annualized drop in hours in Q1 was -8.7%-assuming 2-3% productivity growth; likely leaves real GDP in -5.5% to -6.5% area
- Total unemployed, plus marginally attached workers, plus part-time for economic reasons up from 14.8% to 15.4% (16% to 16.2% unadjusted)
- Only positive was diffusion index up from 21.4 to 22
- But looking at industry breakdown, hard to find where that improvement came from
- Manufacturing -161k
- Construction -126k
- Retail -48k
- Finance -43k
- Temp -72k
- Govt -5k
- Education +8k
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Change in Nonfarm Payrolls YoY (Mar)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-4795.00 |
| Prior |
-4254.00 |
| Revised |
n/a |
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Nonfarm Payrolls ALLX (Mar)
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Unemployment Rate (Mar)
| Survey |
8.5% |
| Actual |
8.5% |
| Prior |
8.1% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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Unemployment Rate ALLX 1 (Mar)
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Unemployment Rate ALLX 2 (Mar)
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Change in Manufacturing Payrolls (Mar)
| Survey |
-162K |
| Actual |
-161K |
| Prior |
-168K |
| Revised |
-169K |
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Change in Manufacturing Payrolls YoY (Mar)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-9.9% |
| Prior |
-9.1% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Mar)
| Survey |
0.2% |
| Actual |
0.2% |
| Prior |
0.2% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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Average Hourly Earnings YoY (Mar)
| Survey |
3.5% |
| Actual |
3.4% |
| Prior |
3.6% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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Average Hourly Earnings ALLX 1 (Mar)
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Average Hourly Earnings ALLX 2 (Mar)
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Average Hourly Earnings ALLX 3 (Mar)
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Average Weekly Hours (Mar)
| Survey |
33.3 |
| Actual |
33.2 |
| Prior |
33.3 |
| Revised |
n/a |
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RPX Composite 28dy YoY (Jan)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-23.03% |
| Prior |
-21.43% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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RPX Composite 28dy Index (Jan)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
186.39 |
| Prior |
193.05 |
| Revised |
n/a |
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ISM Non Manufacturing Composite (Mar)
| Survey |
42.0 |
| Actual |
40.8 |
| Prior |
41.6 |
| Revised |
n/a |
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