2008-01-16 EU Highlights

Overall, inflation and weakness continues:

European Inflation Holds Above 3% as Food Prices Soar
German 2007 Inflation Fastest Since Records Began
France: Inflation up to 2.3% in Q4 sunk real wages, spending
ECB’s Weber Says Shouldn’t `Over-Dramatize’ Inflation Jump
Europe’s Economies Face `Stagflation’ Risk This Year
Weber Says ECB Won’t Tolerate Excessive Pay Increases
European Car Sales Rose in 2007 on New Fiat, BMW Models
German First-Quarter Growth to Slow to 0.3 Percent
Bank of Italy Cuts 2008 Growth Forecast Due to Euro, Inflation
Bank of France Cuts Fourth-Quarter Growth Forecast to 0.4%
French Populace Grows to 63.8 Million, Second-Highest in Europe
Iceland delays banks’ plans to adopt the euro

Good choice.


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2008-01-15 EU Highlights

EU Headlines:

Same twin themes as the US, weakness and inflation:

Spain Core Inflation Rises for Fifth Month on Food
German Economic Growth Slowed as Sales Tax Increased
German Investor Confidence Dropped to 15-Year Low
French inflation at highest level since 2004

by Ben Sills
(Bloomberg) In France, the euro region’s second-biggest economy, inflation accelerated to 2.8 percent in December, the fastest pace in almost four years. Inflation held at 3.1 percent for the whole of the single currency area, matching the fastest pace since the euro was introduced.

Controlling Prices

The European Central Bank is “prepared to act preemptively so that second-round effects and risks to price stability do not materialize,” President Jean-Claude Trichet said at a press conference in Frankfurt Jan. 10.

By Christian Vits and Gabi Thesing
(Bloomberg) ECB policy makers, including President Jean-Claude Trichet and the Bundesbank’s Axel Weber, have threatened to raise interest rates if the increase in inflation leads to so-called second-round effects where workers demand higher wages to offset increased living costs.

European Bonds Gain for Second Day as German Confidence Slumps

anticipating ECB may cut due to weakness like the Fed

Prodi Government Names Antonio Lirosi as First `Inflation Czar’
Germany Says ECB’s Independence Won’t Be Questioned

They support the anti-inflation bias.

Portuguese Inflation Slowed to 2.7% in December on Transport

still high

A few highlights from Middle/Eastern Europe:

Romania Will Cut Budget Gap More to Fight Inflation

Fiscal tightening in general – slowing demand in the Eurozone.

Czech Producer Prices Unexpectedly Declined 0.1% in December

Still high and rising.


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2008-01-14 EU Highlights

European News Headlines:

Europe Industrial Production Falls for Second Time in 3 Months

Fed beggar they neighbor policy robbing some demand.

European Bonds Gain on Speculation ECB Won’t Lift Interest Rate

inflation on the rise

Bonello Says Inflation May Slow to 2% by End of Year

He also says this will happen if oil and other prices come down ‘as expected’- must be looking at futures prices.

Italian Industrial Output Falls for Third Month in November
Norway Expects to Drill 35 to 40 Oil-Exploration Wells in 2008

High prices may bring out more supply – some day.

Icelandic January Inflation Holds at Highest Since March

same everywhere


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