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ICSC UBS Store Sales YoY (Dec 23)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-0.60% |
| Prior |
-0.40% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Continues to slip.
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ICSC UBS Store Sales WoW (Dec 23)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
2.60% |
| Prior |
0.60% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Cheaper gasoline helping some?
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Redbook Store Sales Weekly YoY (Dec 16)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-1.00% |
| Prior |
-1.40% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Still slipping.
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Redbook Store Sales MoM (Dec 16)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-0.70% |
| Prior |
-0.70% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Still slipping.
No meaningul sign of cheaper gasoline helping here yet.
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ICSC UBS Redbook Comparison TABLE (Dec 16)
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GDP QoQ Annualized (3Q F)
| Survey |
-0.5% |
| Actual |
-0.5% |
| Prior |
-0.5% |
| Revised |
n/a |
As expected.
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GDP YoY Annualized Real (3Q F)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
0.70% |
| Prior |
2.1% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Tiny positive for the year.
Next quarter looking negative.
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GDP YoY Annualized Nominal (3Q F)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
3.3% |
| Prior |
4.1% |
| Revised |
n/a |
This is heading to new lows as well.
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GDP Price Index (3Q F)
| Survey |
4.25 |
| Actual |
3.9% |
| Prior |
4.2% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Should reverse.
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Core PCE QoQ (3Q F)
| Survey |
2.6% |
| Actual |
2.4% |
| Prior |
2.6% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Should reverse some.
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GDP ALLX 1 (3Q F)
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GDP ALLX 2 (3Q F)
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Personal Consumption (3Q F)
| Survey |
-3.7% |
| Actual |
-3.8% |
| Prior |
-3.7% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Sudden fall from ‘muddling through’ to recession.
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Univ of Michigan Confidence (Dec F)
| Survey |
58.8 |
| Actual |
60.1 |
| Prior |
59.1 |
| Revised |
n/a |
Gasoline prices helping here.
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Univ of Michigan TABLE Inflation Expectations (Dec F)
Back to where the Fed wants them to be.
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New Home Sales (Nov)
| Survey |
415k |
| Actual |
407k |
| Prior |
433k |
| Revised |
419k |
A bit lower than expected and last month revised down some.
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New Home Sales Total for Sale (Nov)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
374.00 |
| Prior |
402.00 |
| Revised |
n/a |
Down to very low levels and one reason sales are low.
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New Home Sales MoM (Nov)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-2.9% |
| Prior |
-5.2% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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New Home Sales YoY (Nov)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-35.3% |
| Prior |
-42.0% |
| Revised |
n/a |
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New Home Sales Median Price (Nov)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
220.40 |
| Prior |
214.60 |
| Revised |
n/a |
Up, but still trending lower.
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New Home Sales TABLE 1 (Nov)
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New Home Sales TABLE 2 (Nov)
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Existing Home Sales (Nov)
| Survey |
4.93M |
| Actual |
4.49M |
| Prior |
4.98M |
| Revised |
4.91M |
Large drop.
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Existing Home Sales MoM (Nov)
| Survey |
-1.0% |
| Actual |
-8.6% |
| Prior |
-3.1% |
| Revised |
-4.5% |
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Existing Home Sales YoY (Nov)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-1.6% |
| Prior |
0.6% |
| Revised |
n/a |
Still well off the bottom.
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Existing Home Sales Inventory (Nov)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
4.234 |
| Prior |
4.272 |
| Revised |
n/a |
Falling some, but new foreclosures probably keeping this high.
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Existing Home Sales ALLX 1 (Nov)
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Existing Home Sales ALLX 2 (Nov)
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House Price Index MoM (Oct)
| Survey |
-1.3% |
| Actual |
-1.1% |
| Prior |
-1.3% |
| Revised |
-1.2% |
Still falling.
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House Price Index YoY (Oct)
| Survey |
n/a |
| Actual |
-7.5% |
| Prior |
-7.0% |
| Revised |
n/a |
No bottom in sight yet.
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House Price Index ALLX (Nov)
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec)
| Survey |
-40 |
| Actual |
-55 |
| Prior |
-38 |
| Revised |
n/a |
Very weak.
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index ALLX (Dec)
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