Tag Archives: New Home Sales

2007-12-28 US Economic Releases

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2007-12-28 Chicago Purchasing Manager

Chicago Purchasing Manager (Dec)

Survey 51.7
Actual 56.6
Prior 52.9
Revised n/a

Graph Looks Ok.

2007-12-28 New Home Sales

New Home Sales (Nov)

Survey 717K
Actual 647K
Prior 728K
Revised 711K

2007-12-28 New Home Sales MoM

New Home Sales MoM (Nov)

Survey -1.6%
Actual -9.0%
Prior 1.7%
Revised 1.7%

Still heading south, but less impact on GDP.

Also, fewer homes are being built.

Existing home sales Monday will mean more.

And during the winter months, seasonally, fewer months are built and sold; so, small absolute changes get magnified.

2007-12-28 Help Wanted Index

Help Wanted Index (Nov)

Survey 23
Actual 21
Prior 23
Revised 22

Working its way lower in line with a still strong, but softening labor market.

Most recent plunge seems to be related to CNBC gloom and doom talk that started in August.

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2007-11-29 US Economic Releases

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GCP Annualized (3QP)

Survey 4.8%
Actual 4.9%
Prior 3.9%
Revised n/a

Keeps coming in above expectations.

Personal Consumption (3QP)

Survey 2.9%
Actual 2.7%
Prior 3.0%
Revised n/a

A touch higher bust still seems very low.

GDP Price Index (3QP)

Survey 0.8%
Actual 0.9%
Prior 0.8%
Revised n/a

A touch higher bust still seems very low.

Core PCE QoQ (3QP)

Survey 1.8%
Actual 1.8%
Prior 1.8%
Revised n/a

Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 24)

Survey 330K
Actual 352K
Prior 330K
Revised 329K

Thanksgiving week. Next week’s number is more informative.

Continuing Claims (Nov 17)

Survey 2575K
Actual 2665K
Prior 2566K
Revised 2553K

Thanksgiving week. Next week’s number is more informative.

New Home Sales (Oct)

Survey 750K
Actual 728K
Prior 770K
Revised 716K

Up a touch from revised lower number, but still very low.

New Home Sales MoM (Oct)

Survey -2.6%
Actual 1.7%
Prior 4.8%
Revised -0.1%

Up a touch from revised lower number, but still very low.

Help Wanted Index (Oct)

Survey 23
Actual 23
Prior 24
Revised n/a

Thanksgiving week. Next week’s number is more informative.

House Price Index QoQ (3Q)

Survey -0.5%
Actual -0.4%
Prior 0.1%
Revised n/a

Moving lower.
Do you think any of this is below fed expectations as of October 31st?

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