2009-03-24 USER


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ICSC UBS Store Sales YoY (Mar 24)

Survey n/a
Actual -1.4%
Prior -1.4%
Revised n/a

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ICSC UBS Store Sales WoW (Mar 24)

Survey n/a
Actual -0.4%
Prior -0.1%
Revised n/a

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Redbook Store Sales Weekly YoY (Mar 24)

Survey n/a
Actual -1.3%
Prior -1.1%
Revised n/a

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Redbook Store Sales MoM (Mar 24)

Survey n/a
Actual 0.0%
Prior 0.0%
Revised n/a

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ICSC UBS Redbook Comparison TABLE (Mar 24)

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House Price Index MoM (Jan)

Survey -0.9%
Actual 1.7%
Prior 0.1%
Revised -0.2%

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House Price Index YoY (Jan)

Survey n/a
Actual -6.3%
Prior -8.9%
Revised n/a

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House Price Index ALLX (Jan)

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey (Mar)

Survey -51
Actual -20
Prior -51
Revised n/a

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey ALLX (Mar)


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2008-12-23 USER


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ICSC UBS Store Sales YoY (Dec 23)

Survey n/a
Actual -0.60%
Prior -0.40%
Revised n/a

 
Continues to slip.

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ICSC UBS Store Sales WoW (Dec 23)

Survey n/a
Actual 2.60%
Prior 0.60%
Revised n/a

 
Cheaper gasoline helping some?

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Redbook Store Sales Weekly YoY (Dec 16)

Survey n/a
Actual -1.00%
Prior -1.40%
Revised n/a

 
Still slipping.

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Redbook Store Sales MoM (Dec 16)

Survey n/a
Actual -0.70%
Prior -0.70%
Revised n/a

 
Still slipping.

No meaningul sign of cheaper gasoline helping here yet.

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ICSC UBS Redbook Comparison TABLE (Dec 16)

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GDP QoQ Annualized (3Q F)

Survey -0.5%
Actual -0.5%
Prior -0.5%
Revised n/a

 
As expected.

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GDP YoY Annualized Real (3Q F)

Survey n/a
Actual 0.70%
Prior 2.1%
Revised n/a

 
Tiny positive for the year.

Next quarter looking negative.

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GDP YoY Annualized Nominal (3Q F)

Survey n/a
Actual 3.3%
Prior 4.1%
Revised n/a

 
This is heading to new lows as well.

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GDP Price Index (3Q F)

Survey 4.25
Actual 3.9%
Prior 4.2%
Revised n/a

 
Should reverse.

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Core PCE QoQ (3Q F)

Survey 2.6%
Actual 2.4%
Prior 2.6%
Revised n/a

 
Should reverse some.

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GDP ALLX 1 (3Q F)

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GDP ALLX 2 (3Q F)

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Personal Consumption (3Q F)

Survey -3.7%
Actual -3.8%
Prior -3.7%
Revised n/a

 
Sudden fall from ‘muddling through’ to recession.

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Univ of Michigan Confidence (Dec F)

Survey 58.8
Actual 60.1
Prior 59.1
Revised n/a

 
Gasoline prices helping here.

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Univ of Michigan TABLE Inflation Expectations (Dec F)

 
Back to where the Fed wants them to be.

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New Home Sales (Nov)

Survey 415k
Actual 407k
Prior 433k
Revised 419k

 
A bit lower than expected and last month revised down some.

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New Home Sales Total for Sale (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual 374.00
Prior 402.00
Revised n/a

 
Down to very low levels and one reason sales are low.

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New Home Sales MoM (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual -2.9%
Prior -5.2%
Revised n/a

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New Home Sales YoY (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual -35.3%
Prior -42.0%
Revised n/a

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New Home Sales Median Price (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual 220.40
Prior 214.60
Revised n/a

 
Up, but still trending lower.

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New Home Sales TABLE 1 (Nov)

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New Home Sales TABLE 2 (Nov)

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Existing Home Sales (Nov)

Survey 4.93M
Actual 4.49M
Prior 4.98M
Revised 4.91M

 
Large drop.

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Existing Home Sales MoM (Nov)

Survey -1.0%
Actual -8.6%
Prior -3.1%
Revised -4.5%

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Existing Home Sales YoY (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual -1.6%
Prior 0.6%
Revised n/a

 
Still well off the bottom.

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Existing Home Sales Inventory (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual 4.234
Prior 4.272
Revised n/a

 
Falling some, but new foreclosures probably keeping this high.

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Existing Home Sales ALLX 1 (Nov)

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Existing Home Sales ALLX 2 (Nov)

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House Price Index MoM (Oct)

Survey -1.3%
Actual -1.1%
Prior -1.3%
Revised -1.2%

 
Still falling.

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House Price Index YoY (Oct)

Survey n/a
Actual -7.5%
Prior -7.0%
Revised n/a

 
No bottom in sight yet.

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House Price Index ALLX (Nov)

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec)

Survey -40
Actual -55
Prior -38
Revised n/a

 
Very weak.

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index ALLX (Dec)


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2008-10-28 USER


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ICSC UBS Store Sales YoY (Oct 28)

Survey n/a
Actual 1.30%
Prior 0.90%
Revised n/a

 
Maybe rebounding some with lower gas prices?

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ICSC UBS Store Sales WoW (Oct. 28)

Survey n/a
Actual 0.50%
Prior -1.60%
Revised n/a

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Redbook Store Sales Weekly YoY (Oct. 28)

Survey n/a
Actual 0.70%
Prior 0.80%
Revised n/a

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Redbook Store Sales MoM (Oct. 28)

Survey n/a
Actual -1.10%
Prior -1.10%
Revised n/a

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ICSC UBS Redbook Comparison TABLE (Oct. 28)

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S&P CS Composite 20 YoY (Aug)

Survey -16.60%
Actual -16.62%
Prior -16.35%
Revised -16.32%

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S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index (Aug)

Survey n/a
Actual 164.57
Prior 166.23
Revised 166.29

 
Still falling but at a slower rate

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S&P Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (Aug)

Survey n/a
Actual -15.38%
Prior -14.22%
Revised n/a

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Case Shiller ALLX 1 (Aug)

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Case Shiller ALLX 2 (Aug)

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Consumer Confidence (Oct)

Survey 52.0
Actual 38.0
Prior 59.8
Revised 61.4

 
Major dip here.

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Consumer Confidence ALLX 1 (Oct)

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Consumer Confidence ALLX 2 (Oct)

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct)

Survey -23
Actual -26
Prior -18
Revised n/a

 
Also bad.

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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index ALLX (Oct)


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