Japan outlook, Rail traffic, Business inventories

Japan downgrades industrial outlook for first time in 40 months (Nikkei) The Japanese government on Thursday downgraded its monthly assessment of industrial output for the first time in more than three years. The Cabinet Office’s economic report for February says “weakness can be seen in some areas” of production, qualifying a view ...Read More

*exports to China, Philly Fed, US home sales, durable goods orders

Asia’s exports to China plunge as economy stumbles (WSJ) Japan’s exports to China in January sank 17.4% on the year to 958.1 billion yen ($8.65 billion), accelerating from December’s 7% drop. South Korean exports to China in January slid 19% on the year, a steeper rate than in the previous two months ...Read More

Euro area PMI, Japan pmi, Misc. global headlines

Tariff man, aka Agent Orange, doing a number on global economies… Just went negative: Services moved up some but the trend still looks down: Japan appearing to be collapsing as well: And these recent headlines: Argentina Leading Economic Index The economy of Argentina shrank 0.1 percent month-over-month in January 2019, following a ...Read More

Japan exports, California home sales, Arizona home sales

Japan exports hit by biggest fall in 2 years on weak China demand (Reuters) Japan’s exports fell 8.4 percent in the year to January. It was the sharpest annual decline since October 2016, and followed a revised 3.9 percent year-on-year drop last December. Japanese exports to China, Japan’s biggest trading partner, fell ...Read More

Housing index, Las Vegas visitors, Policy news chart

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China car sales, Euro sector balances

China Total Vehicle Sales Vehicle sales in China tumbled 15.8 percent from a year earlier to 2.37 million in January 2019, following a 13 percent drop in the previous month. It was the seventh consecutive annual decrease in vehicle sales in the world’s largest auto market and the sharpest since January 2012 ...Read More

US retail sales, Fed comments

Starting to look more like most of the rest of the world: US retail trade fell by 1.2 percent from a month earlier in December 2018, following a revised 0.1 percent growth in November and missing market expectations of 0.2 percent gain. It was the steepest decline in trade since September 2009, ...Read More

Mtg apps, Euro zone industrial production

Getting even more serious- year over year down 6%: Highlights The purchase index fell for a fourth straight week and down steeply, at a 6.0 percent rate which is not only the weekly change but also the yearly change as well. The report attributes the fall to “renewed uncertainty about the domestic ...Read More

NFIB survey, China, UK, California home sales, Rig count

Trumped up expectations fading: Highlights Doubts about future economic growth diminished optimism among small business owners to the lowest level in 26 months, according to the NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index, which fell 3.2 points in January to 101.2, below consensus expectations as well as the range of analysts’ forecasts. Though still ...Read More

Wealth share, Vehicle sales, US retail sales, US trade, German trade, HK index, UK, US Consumer credit

The ‘labor market’ is not a ‘fair game’ as people need to work to eat, and business only needs to hire if it likes the return prospects, so real wages should be expected to remain depressed without some form of outside support, which broke down in the 80’s with globalization policies, and ...Read More