TAF Results

(from Patrick Doyle)

Below is a table of the results of the last 3 TAF auctions

Of note is the spread to OIS (FF’s) which is inside the historic LIBOR / OIS spread. There were less participants in this round as well

This all bodes well and is showing the easing of pressure in the funding markets.

Jan. 15
2008
Dec. 21
2007
Dec. 19
2007
Stop-out rate: 3.95% 4.67% 4.65%
Total propositions submitted: $55.526 Bil. $57.664 Bil. $61.553 Bil.
Total propositions accepted: $30.000 Bil. $20.000 Bil. $20.000 Bil.
Bid/cover ratio: 1.85 2.88 3.08
Number of bidders: 56 73 93
Term 28-day loan 35-day loan 28-day loan
Settlement Date Jan. 17, 2008 Dec. 27, 2007 Dec. 20, 2007
Maturity Date Feb. 14, 2008 Jan. 31, 2008 Jan. 17, 2008

♥

Re: FF vs. LIBOR

(an interoffice email)

On Jan 14, 2008 10:29 AM, Warren Mosler wrote:
> thanks, continued tafs will get it to wherever the fed actually wants
> it. it’s a policy rate they can administer at will.
>
>
>
>
>
>
> On Jan 14, 2008 10:16 AM, Pat Doyle wrote:
> >
> >
> >
> > Today you can say that the spread has narrowed significantly between LIBOR
> > and FFs. The spread on the indices has been above 60 (with a few
> > exceptions) since August. Aug 7th it was 12bps and was over 100 at times.
> > NOW THE SPREAD IS 43.
> >
> >

Re: US Libor GC Spreads comment

(an interoffice email)

Good report, thanks!

On Jan 4, 2008 10:41 AM, Pat Doyle wrote:
>
>
>
> Pre- August 2007 GC US Treasury’s repo averaged Libor less 17 across the
> curve. In early August and again in early December the spread between GC
> and Libor hit it’s wides in excess of 150bps for 3m repo and 180bps for
> 1mos.
>
>
>
> Today’s Spreads:
>
> 1m = L -46.5
>
> 3m = L – 77
>
> 6m = L – 82
>
>
>
> This recent narrowing of the spread is primarily a result of the TAF
> program and CB intervention but may also be attributed to continuing
> writedowns of assets. There is plenty of cash in the short term markets and
> now some of this cash is going out the curve helping to narrow Libor
> spreads. The problem banks continue to have is that their balance sheet size
> and composition is adversely affecting their capital ratios. Banks and
> Dealers remain very cautious about adding risk assets to their balance
> sheets. Bids are defensive as dealers are demanding higher rents (return
> for risk) for balance sheet. Dislocations still exist, for example it may
> make no sense from a credit perspective but AAA CMBS on open repo trades at
> FF’s + 75, while IG Corp trades FF’s + 40, even NON IG Corps trade tighter
> than AAA CMBS. The more assets are either sold or otherwise liquidated off
> of the balance sheets and the more transparent the balance sheet
> compositions become, then the quicker the markets will stabilize
>
>
>
> GRAPH OF 1 MONTH LIBOR VS. 1 MONTH UST GC
>
>