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![2008-04-30 MBAVPRCH Index](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-mbavprch-index-small.gif)
MBAVPRCH Index (Apr 25)
Survey |
n/a |
Actual |
340.1 |
Prior |
357.3 |
Revised |
n/a |
Definately looking weak. Winter is over, and tax rebates are in the mail.
![2008-04-30 MBAVREFI Index](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-mbavrefi-index-small.gif)
MBAVREFI Index (Apr)
Survey |
n/a |
Actual |
1905.2 |
Prior |
2286.3 |
Revised |
n/a |
Settling down as well.
![2008-04-30 ADP Employment Change](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-adp-employment-change-small.gif)
ADP Employment Change (Apr)
Survey |
-60K |
Actual |
10K |
Prior |
8K |
Revised |
3K |
Employment growth continues to slow over time but not yet signaling recession.
Non-farm payrolls muddling through as well.
![2008-04-30 GDP QoQ Annualized](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-gdp-qoq-annualized-small.gif)
GDP QoQ Annualized (1Q A)
Survey |
0.5% |
Actual |
0.6% |
Prior |
0.6% |
Revised |
n/a |
Still in the black, and my guess is it’s likely to be revised up with the March trade numbers that are due in in a couple of weeks.
![2008-04-30 Personal Consumption](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-personal-consumption-small.gif)
Personal Consumption (1Q A)
Survey |
0.7% |
Actual |
1.0% |
Prior |
2.3% |
Revised |
n/a |
Also holding up better than expected, and rebates are on the way.
![2008-04-30 GDP Price Index](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-gdp-price-index-small.gif)
GDP Price Index (1Q A)
Survey |
3.0% |
Actual |
2.6% |
Prior |
2.4% |
Revised |
n/a |
Better than expected, still high, and with crude continuing to move up it’s going up as well.
![2008-04-30 Core PCE QoQ](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-core-pce-qoq-small.gif)
Core PCE QoQ (1Q A)
Survey |
2.2% |
Actual |
2.2% |
Prior |
2.5% |
Revised |
n/a |
The trend is up, and the Fed is monitoring it closely…
![2008-04-30 Employment Cost Index](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-employment-cost-index-small.gif)
Employment Cost Index (1Q)
Survey |
0.8% |
Actual |
0.7% |
Prior |
0.8% |
Revised |
n/a |
Looks under control, but not a brake on inflation.
![2008-04-30 Chicago Purchasing Manager](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-chicago-purchasing-manager-small.gif)
Chicago Purchasing Manager (Apr)
Survey |
47.5% |
Actual |
48.3% |
Prior |
48.2% |
Revised |
n/a |
A touch better than expected, but still trending lower.
![2008-04-30 NAPM-Milwaukee](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/04/2008-04-30-napm-milwaukee-small.gif)
NAPM-Milwaukee (Apr)
Survey |
n/a |
Actual |
48.0 |
Prior |
47.0 |
Revised |
n/a |
Also not down to recession levels yet.
![2008-04-30 FOMC Rate Decision](https://moslereconomics.com/wp-content/graphs/2008/05/2008-04-30-fomc-rate-decision-small.gif)
FOMC Rate Decision (Apr 30)
Survey |
2.00% |
Actual |
2.0% |
Prior |
2.25% |
Revised |
n/a |
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