Housing on a sustainable uptrend?
on July 18, 2012 in GDP, Housing 13 Comments
Looks to me like housing is finally in a very sustainable uptrend, supported by adequate federal deficit spending, modestly improving personal income, relatively high affordability, low consumer debt ratios, very low levels of actual inventory, tightening rental markets, etc. etc.
And looks to me that housing starts could double and still be at relatively low levels, so there’s years of upside with modest growth rates.
It also means GDP could gravitate up to the 3-4% range by year end, and stay above 0% even should we go over the fiscal cliff.
Housing Starts Rise at Fastest Pace in Three Years
July 18 (CNBC) — Groundbreaking on new U.S. homes rose in June to its fastest pace in over three years, lending a helping hand to an economy that has shown worrisome signs of cooling.