- Initial Jobless Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
- Continuing Jobless Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
- Jobless Claims ALLX (Released 8:30 EST)
- Philadelphia Fed (Released 10:00 EST)
- Philadelphia Fed TABLE (Released 10:00 EST)
- Philadelphia Fed TABLE 2 (Released 10:00 EST)
- Leading Indicators (Released 10:00 EST)
- Leading Indicators ALLX (Released 10:00 EST)
Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 13)
| Survey | 440K |
| Actual | 445K |
| Prior | 445K |
| Revised | n/a |
Staying at the top of the new range since the extended benefit package went into force. And might be a touch high due to the hurricane.
Continuing Jobless Claims (Sep 6)
| Survey | 3525K |
| Actual | 3478K |
| Prior | 3525K |
| Revised | 3533K |
Down a bit and better than expected but still on the high side.
Jobless Claims ALLX (Sep 13)
Philadelphia Fed (Sep)
| Survey | -10.0 |
| Actual | 3.8 |
| Prior | -12.7 |
| Revised | n/a |
Back to positive territory with an upside surprise.
Philadelphia Fed TABLE (Sep)
Philadelphia Fed TABLE 2 (Sep)
Leading Indicators (Aug)
| Survey | -0.2% |
| Actual | -0.5% |
| Prior | -0.7% |
| Revised | n/a |
Leading indicators down more than expected. This is largely a financial conditions indicator.
Leading Indicators ALLX (Aug)
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Karim writes:
- Initial claims rise 10k to new cycle of 455k but DOL states Gustav-related claims helped boost weekly rise.
- 4wk avg rises to 445k from 440k.
- Continuing claims fall 55k to 3478k, partially reversing prior weeks large 129k increase.
- 4wk average of continuing rises from 3431k to 3461k.
- Even if initial claims would have been lower ex-Gustav, recent trends in both IJC and CC reflect a faster pace of labor market deterioration.
- Next month’s payrolls likely to be down more than 100k.
- Activity index rises from -12.7 to 3.8.
- Prices paid drop from 57.5 to 31.5.
- Orders and shipments rise 17.5 and 5.9pts, respectively, both into modest positive position.
- Employment component basically unch at -0.9.
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