- Challenger Job Cuts YoY (Released 7:30 EST)
- Personal Income (Released 8:30 EST)
- Personal Spending (Released 8:30 EST)
- PCE Deflator YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
- PCE Core MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
- PCE Core YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
- Initial Jobless Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
- Continuing Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
- ISM Manufacturing (Released 10:00 EST)
- ISM Prices Paid (Released 10:00 EST)
- Construction Spending MoM (Released 10:00 EST)
- Construction Spending YoY (Released 10:00 EST)
- Total Vehicle Sales (Released 10:00 EST)
- Domestic Vehicle Sales (Released 10:00 EST)
Challenger Job Cuts YoY (Apr)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | 27.4% |
| Prior | 9.4% |
| Revised | n/a |
Seem to be drifting higher.
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Personal Income (Mar)
| Survey | 0.4% |
| Actual | 0.3% |
| Prior | 0.5% |
| Revised | n/a |
Not the stuff of recessions.
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Personal Spending (Mar)
| Survey | 0.2% |
| Actual | 0.4% |
| Prior | 0.1% |
| Revised | n/a |
Muddling through.
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PCE Deflator YoY (Mar)
| Survey | 3.2% |
| Actual | 3.2% |
| Prior | 3.4% |
| Revised | n/a |
Still far too high for comfort for a mainstream economist.
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PCE Core MoM (Mar)
| Survey | 0.1% |
| Actual | 0.2% |
| Prior | 0.1% |
| Revised | n/a |
I’m anticipation more 0.3%s for the rest of this year.
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PCE Core YoY (Mar)
| Survey | 2.0% |
| Actual | 2.1% |
| Prior | 2.0% |
| Revised | n/a |
Starting to move back up.
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Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 26)
| Survey | 365K |
| Actual | 380K |
| Prior | 342K |
| Revised | 345K |
No recession yet.
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Continuing Claims (Apr 19)
| Survey | 2950K |
| Actual | 3019K |
| Prior | 2934K |
| Revised | 2945K |
No recession yet.
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ISM Manufacturing (Apr)
| Survey | 48.0 |
| Actual | 48.6 |
| Prior | 48.6 |
| Revised | n/a |
Staying above recession levels.
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ISM Prices Paid (Apr)
| Survey | 83.5 |
| Actual | 84.5 |
| Prior | 83.5 |
| Revised | n/a |
Inflation ripping!
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Construction Spending MoM (Mar)
| Survey | -0.7% |
| Actual | -1.1% |
| Prior | -0.3% |
| Revised | 0.4% |
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Construction Spending YoY (Mar)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | -3.4% |
| Prior | -2.2% |
| Revised | n/a |
Still weak.
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Total Vehicle Sales (Apr)
| Survey | 15.0M |
| Actual | — |
| Prior | 15.1M |
| Revised | — |
[comments]
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Domestic Vehicle Sales (Apr)
| Survey | 11.4M |
| Actual | – |
| Prior | 11.1M |
| Revised | – |
[comments]
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