Import Price Index MoM (Feb)

Survey	0.8%
Actual	0.2%
Prior	1.7%
Revised	1.6%

Import Price Index YoY (Feb)

Survey	n/a
Actual	13.6%
Prior	13.7%
Revised	13.8%

Import Prices Ex Petroleum YoY

Survey	n/a
Actual	4.5%
Prior	3.6%
Revised	n/a

Exports MoM (Feb)

Survey	n/a
Actual	0.9%
Prior	1.2%
Revised	n/a

Exports YoY (Feb)

Survey	n/a
Actual	6.8%
Prior	6.7%
Revised	n/a

Inflation ripping via the ‘weak dollar’ channel.

Note: non-petroleum imports up 0.6%.

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Advance Retail Sales (Feb)

Survey	0.2%
Actual	-0.6%
Prior	0.3%
Revised	0.4%

Retail Sales Less Autos (Feb)

Survey	0.2%
Actual	-0.2%
Prior	0.3%
Revised	0.5%

Retail sales soft, but not in collapse. That’s what an export economy looks like: domestic sales soft, while exports pick up the slack and support GDP, real terms of trade, and standards of living deteriorate.

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Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 8)

Survey	357K
Actual	353K
Prior	351K
Revised	353K

Leveling off – nowhere near recession levels yet.

Would need to be 400K+.

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Continuing Claims (Mar 1)

Survey	2835K
Actual	2835K
Prior	2831K
Revised	2828K

Moving a bit higher, but still far below recession levels.

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Business Inventories (Jan)

Survey	0.5%
Actual	0.8%
Prior	0.6%
Revised	0.7%

Up some, but still much lower than prior to other recessions.