The contango in the futures market continues to come in, as does the spread between WTI and Brent.
The RBOB contango is also coming in, indicating gasoline supplies are also tightening.
This indicates spot supplies are tightening- the OPEC cuts are ‘working’.
Most consumption indicators show crude consumption to be about flat or only down slightly year over year.
The great Mike Masters inventory liquidation that began in July may finally have run its course.
And the Saudis are back to being price setter.
I would strongly recommend any fiscal adjustment that increases aggregate demand be accompanied by policy that immediately and substantially reduces crude oil and gasoline consumption.
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