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Aug 14, 2014
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Residential investment, Earnings, Saudi pricing, Vehicle sales
Economic Releases
Nov 16, 2018
Note the deceleration began with the collapse in oil capex in 2015: The year end tax cut caused a onetime increase in earnings that subsequently flattened out and may now be declining: Seems Saudis are raising prices: Stopped growing a couple of years ago:
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Mtg apps, China exports, Oil
Economic Releases
Nov 14, 2018
Continuing to be negative year over year: Highlights Rising interest rates continue to dampen mortgage activity, with purchase applications for home mortgages falling a seasonally adjusted 2.3 percent in the November 9 week to the lowest level since February 2017 while refinancing applications decreased by 4.3 percent to the lowest level since
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Consumer credit, Employment
Economic Releases
Nov 08, 2018
Highlights Consumer credit growth slowed more than expected to just $10.9 billion in September, below Econoday’s consensus range and less than half of the upwardly revised $22.9 billion August increase. Growth slowed in nonrevolving credit, which rose $11.2 billion in September versus $18.3 billion previously, while growth in revolving credit stalled completely
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Housing prices, Consumer confidence, Investment
Economic Releases
Oct 30, 2018
More housing weakness: Highlights Growth in home prices, as it is for home sales, is almost at a standstill, at least on a monthly basis for Case-Shiller’s 20-city adjusted index which inched only 0.1 percent higher in August. Year-on-year, the unadjusted index is still growing at healthy rate of 5.5 percent which,
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Personal income and spending, GDP comments, Philly index
Economic Releases
Oct 29, 2018
Income less than expected, spending ok, so savings fell: Highlights Income growth proved very slight in September with inflation steady and moderate and right on the Federal Reserve’s target. Personal income inched only 0.2 percent higher in September which misses the low end of Econoday’s consensus range. Wages & salaries are September’s
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GDP, Pending home sales, new home sales, leveraged loans, 3M chart
Economic Releases
Oct 26, 2018
Looks like without the build in private inventories GDP was about 2% lower at about 1.4%, and health care added .77% where health care premiums paid count as personal consumption. Also, the price index deflator was lower by 1.3%: Bad: Bad: Highlights Lack of available new homes has been holding sales down
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Housing starts, Mtg purchase apps, Retail sales
Economic Releases
Oct 18, 2018
Gone from bad to worse: Highlights The highest interest rates in over 7 years took their toll on mortgage activity in the October 12 week, with purchase applications for home mortgages falling a seasonally adjusted 6 percent while applications for refinancing fell 9 percent. Despite the sizable seasonally adjusted decline, unadjusted purchase
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Employment, Bank loans, Output gap chart, Foreign $ bonds
Economic Releases
Oct 13, 2018
Looks like it’s turned up a bit with the tax cuts? Looks like this source of private sector deficit spending has gone flat again: Looks to me a lot more like a deficiency of demand than a demographic shift: This is a source of $US deficit spending that ‘offsets’ unspent incomes: China
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Car sales, Redbook retail sales, Mtg apps, ISM and Markit services index
Economic Releases
Oct 04, 2018
A bit stronger than expected, but still trending lower, particularly adjusted for population: Highlights Unit sales of motor vehicle proved very strong in September, rising sharply to a 17.4 million annualized rate from 16.6 million in August. This points to a sharp rise in dollar sales of motor vehicles for the September
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Economic Releases
Oct 01, 2018
Lots of evidence of slowing; Highlights A marginal headline gain of 0.1 percent in construction spending masks significant declines in residential spending during August. Residential spending fell 0.7 percent in the month to more than offset a 0.2 percent rise in July. Looking at sub-components, single-family spending was also down 0.7 percent
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