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Housing starts, Architecture index, Foreign home buyers

Rolled over and on the decline and from highs that were at historically depressed levels: Now in contraction: From the AIA: Design services demand stalled in June, Project inquiry gains hit a 10-year low Demand for design services at architecture firms decreased in June in comparison to the previous month, according to ...Read More

Trucking index, Tariffs, Singapore exports, Turkey retail sales

FTR Trucking Conditions Index weakens in May The President is in no hurry because he narrowly views the some $5 billion/mo in tariff revenues as a profit for the US at China’s expense, totally insensitive to the global economic downturn this ‘tax hike’ has created: Trade war to drag on as Trump ...Read More

Retail sales, Industrial production, Housing index, Business inventories

Better than expected: Highlights Taking out a policy-insurance rate cut when the main driver of the economy is booming sounds a little counter-intuitive, in retail sales results that came in much stronger than expected in June. Total sales rose 0.4 percent in the month with ex-auto sales also up 0.4 percent — ...Read More

NY manufacturing, China retail sales, US car sales

Up this month but trending lower: China has been trying to recover with fiscal adjustments: Doesn’t include pickups and other light trucks: ...Read More

Manhattan home prices, Capital goods imports, Rails, Euro area industrial production, China imports

Still in contraction: China Imports Tumble in June Imports to China plunged 7.3 percent from a year earlier to USD 161.86 billion in June 2019, much worse than forecasts of a 4.5 percent drop, a further sign of weak domestic demand that could lead Beijing to add more stimulus. Purchases fell for: ...Read More

JOLTS, Manufacturing, rails, Recreational spending

All seems to be rolling over: This source of growth may be decelerating as well? ...Read More

Employment, China, Trump speech

The annual rate of change continues to take a dive: Highlights There’s still time to cancel your rate-cut party. Nonfarm payrolls shot 224,000 higher in June and well beyond Econoday’s consensus range where the high forecast was 205,000. There are no flukes in this report underscored by a 17,000 jump for what ...Read More

Small business indicators, China business survey, Car sales, FDI, Euro retail sales

Light vehicle sales peaked a while back: Been helping to support the $US: Eurozone Retail Sales Fall Unexpectedly Retail trade in the Euro Area fell 0.3% in May, following a 0.1% drop in April and missing expectations of a 0.3% growth, as sales declined for all main categories. Among the bloc’s largest ...Read More

Payrolls, Durable goods, ISM services, CEO confidence, Fed comment, Trump comment on currencies

Another indicator turning south, and this is a big one, as it’s the source of most consumer income: Familiar pattern? As if rate cuts would help output, employment, or earnings, all of which are decelerating: Dow rises 100 points and heads for record close amid expectations for the Fed to lower rates ...Read More

Construction, Bank loans, Earnings

Been working its way lower and into contraction ever since the collapse in oil capital expenditures late in 2015, like a slow motion train wreck: There’s been a history of getting a spike up before the collapse: Companies are warning that earnings results are going to be brutal KEY POINTS With earnings ...Read More