Re: Chinese stimulus

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(email exchange)

Yes, thanks, as expected!

>   On Tue, Mar 17, 2009, at 8:47, wrote:
>   Looks like China is interested in prosperity as well, just leaving the Europeans behind!

Last November China announced a CNY4trn stimulus package. The first part of the money started to be spent at the end of February on a high speed rail network forming a triangle between Shanghai, Hangzhou and Nanjing, cutting travel times between the cities of up to 8 hours down to just 1 hour. Trains will run at upto 350km an hour – (do you realise the fastest train in the States is between New York and Boston, that for a 5 minute period only gets up to 80mph).

Overall the country will invest CNY600bn in railways this year, and a minimum of CNY600bn a year until 2012.

When you look at infrastructure projects on the ground like this, and combine it with the development in the local bond market (both local authority and corporate bonds), and the major international development with ASEAN +3 (free trade area next year plus the trial renminbi bloc), the economic and financial development with most of the former USSR in terms of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, and the push towards a free trade agreement with the Gulf Cooperation Council, is it really that difficult to see China achieving the 8% GDP growth target that it is aiming for?