- Durable Goods Orders (Released 8:30 EST)
- Durable Goods Orders YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
- Durables Ex Defense MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
- Durables Ex Transportation MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
- Durable Goods ALLX (Released 8:30 EST)
- Initial Jobless Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
- Continuing Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
- Jobless Claims ALLX (Released 8:30 EST)
- New Home Sales (Released 10:00 EST)
- New Home Sales Total for Sale (Released 10:00 EST)
- New Home Sales MoM (Released 10:00 EST)
- New Home Sales YoY (Released 10:00 EST)
- New Home Sales Median Price (Released 10:00 EST)
- New Home Sales TABLE 1 (Released 10:00 EST)
- New Home Sales TABLE 2 (Released 10:00 EST)
Durable Goods Orders (Dec)
| Survey | -2.0% |
| Actual | -2.6% |
| Prior | -1.0% |
| Revised | -3.7% |
Karim writes:
The drumbeat continues:
- Durable good orders down 2.6% in December
- Ex-aircraft and defense, down 2.8% (and down 32.5% at an annualized rate in Q4)
- Consensus for Q4 GDP tomorrow is -5.5%; today’s durables data adds downside risk to that estimate and the claims/confidence data indicate that Q1 may well be as weak as Q4.
Durable Goods Orders YoY (Dec)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | -19.7% |
| Prior | -19.1% |
| Revised | n/a |
Durables Ex Defense MoM (Dec)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | -4.9% |
| Prior | -3.9% |
| Revised | n/a |
Durables Ex Transportation MoM (Dec)
| Survey | -2.7% |
| Actual | -3.6% |
| Prior | 1.2% |
| Revised | -1.7% |
Durable Goods ALLX (Dec)
Initial Jobless Claims (Jan 24)
| Survey | 575K |
| Actual | 588K |
| Prior | 589K |
| Revised | 585K |
Karim writes:
- Initial claims rise 3k to 588k (4wk avg up to 542k from 518k)
Continuing Claims (Jan 17)
| Survey | 4620K |
| Actual | 4776K |
| Prior | 4607K |
| Revised | 4617K |
Karim writes:
- Continuing claims rise 159k to 4776k, all-time high in the 41yrs of the claims series
- Despite the decline in energy prices and publicity surrounding stimulus plan, both ABC and Conference Board surveys made new lows in the past week- reflecting that the labor market is now the key driver of sentiment
Jobless Claims ALLX (Jan 24)
New Home Sales (Dec)
| Survey | 397K |
| Actual | 331K |
| Prior | 407K |
| Revised | 388K |
New Home Sales Total for Sale (Dec)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | 357.00 |
| Prior | 397.00 |
| Revised | n/a |
This continues to fall rapidly as new construction rates falls way below sales.
In fact, the lack of new home inventory is probably restricting sales.
New Home Sales MoM (Dec)
| Survey | -2.5% |
| Actual | -14.7% |
| Prior | -2.9% |
| Revised | -4.4% |
New Home Sales YoY (Dec)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | -44.8% |
| Prior | -38.3% |
| Revised | n/a |
New Home Sales Median Price (Dec)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | 206.50 |
| Prior | 219.70 |
| Revised | n/a |
New Home Sales TABLE 1 (Dec)
New Home Sales TABLE 2 (Dec)
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