2009-01-15 USER


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Producer Price Index MoM (Dec)

Survey -2.0%
Actual -1.9%
Prior -2.2%
Revised n/a

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PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (Dec)

Survey 0.1%
Actual 0.2%
Prior 0.1%
Revised n/a

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Producer Price Index YoY (Dec)

Survey -1.1%
Actual -0.9%
Prior -0.4%
Revised n/a

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PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY (Dec)

Survey 4.1%
Actual 4.3%
Prior 4.2%
Revised n/a

 
Karim writes:

  • PPI -1.9% m/m and now -0.9% y/y; core +0.2%; consumer goods category -2.6% m/m
  • Pipeline pressures continue to plunge: core intermediate goods -3% m/m and core crude -2.2%
  • Lots of Asian indicators suggesting price pressures will continue to plummet, especially in manufacturing
  • Japan machine tool orders – 72% y/y
  • Taiwan exports -42% y/y
  • Korean GDP -16% annualized in Q4!

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Initial Jobless Claims (Jan 10)

Survey 503K
Actual 524K
Prior 467K
Revised 470K

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Continuing Claims (Jan 3)

Survey 4620K
Actual 4497K
Prior 4611K
Revised 4612K

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Jobless Claims ALLX (Jan 10)

 
Karim writes:

  • Initial claims up 54k to 524k as number reverts back to pre-holiday levels
  • Continuing claims drop 115k to 4497k; as duration of unemployment lengthens, this number may become more volatile as individuals exhaust their claims (unless benefits are extended, which might happen)

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Jan)

Survey -25.00
Actual -22.20
Prior -25.76
Revised -27.88

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Jan)

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Jan)

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Philadelphia Fed (Jan)

Survey -35.0
Actual -24.3
Prior -32.9
Revised -36.1

 
Karim writes:

  • Philly Fed improves from -36.1 to -24.3, but remains well into contraction territory
  • Employment component falls from -28.6 to -39.1

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Philadelphia Fed TABLE 1 (Jan)

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Philadelphia Fed TABLE 2 (Jan)


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