The Site of Economist Warren Mosler
[Skip to the end]
Personal Income MoM (Feb)
Survey |
-0.1% |
Actual |
-0.2% |
Prior |
0.4% |
Revised |
0.2% |
Karim writes:
- Personal income down 0.2%, down 4 of last 5mths, and up 1% y/y
- Wage and salary income down 0.4%, down 4mths in a row, and -0.2% y/y
- Personal spending up 0.2%, and down 0.2% in real terms
- Based on Jan-Feb data, real Q1 spending may be flat from -4.3% in Q4
- But because of weakening trend thru Q1, sets up for another negative in Q2
- Saw one forecaster change Q1 estimate from -7.2% to -6.5% and leave Q2 estimate unch at -4.8%
[top][end]
Personal Income YoY (Feb)
Survey |
n/a |
Actual |
1.0% |
Prior |
1.4% |
Revised |
n/a |
[top][end]
Personal Income ALLX (Feb)
[top][end]
Personal Spending (Feb)
Survey |
0.2% |
Actual |
0.2% |
Prior |
0.6% |
Revised |
1.0% |
[top][end]
PCE Deflator YoY (Feb)
Survey |
0.8% |
Actual |
1.0% |
Prior |
0.7% |
Revised |
0.8% |
[top][end]
PCE Core MoM (Feb)
Survey |
0.2% |
Actual |
0.2% |
Prior |
0.1% |
Revised |
0.2% |
[top][end]
PCE Core YoY (Feb)
Survey |
1.6% |
Actual |
1.8% |
Prior |
1.6% |
Revised |
1.7% |
[top][end]
U of Michigan Confidence (Mar F)
Survey |
56.8 |
Actual |
57.3 |
Prior |
56.6 |
Revised |
n/a |
Karim writes:
- Final Michigan survey for March showed small upward revision in confidence: 56.6 to 57.3 (Feb was 56.3)
- 5-10yr inflation expectations revised lower: 2.8 to 2.6 (Feb was 3.1)
[top][end]
U of Michigan Confidence TABLE Inflation Expectations (Feb)
[top]