- MBAVPRCH Index (Released 7:00 EST)
- MBAVREFI Index (Released 8:15 EST)
- ADP Employment Change (Released 8:30 EST)
- GDP QoQ Annualized (Released 8:30 EST)
- Personal Consumption (Released 8:30 EST)
- GDP Price Index (Released 8:30 EST)
- Core PCE QoQ (Released 8:30 EST)
- Employment Cost Index (Released 8:30 EST)
- Chicago Purchasing Manager (Released 9:45 EST)
- NAPM-Milwaukee (Released 10:00 EST)
- FOMC Rate Decision (Released 14:15 EST)
MBAVPRCH Index (Apr 25)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | 340.1 |
| Prior | 357.3 |
| Revised | n/a |
Definately looking weak. Winter is over, and tax rebates are in the mail.
MBAVREFI Index (Apr)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | 1905.2 |
| Prior | 2286.3 |
| Revised | n/a |
Settling down as well.
ADP Employment Change (Apr)
| Survey | -60K |
| Actual | 10K |
| Prior | 8K |
| Revised | 3K |
Employment growth continues to slow over time but not yet signaling recession.
Non-farm payrolls muddling through as well.
GDP QoQ Annualized (1Q A)
| Survey | 0.5% |
| Actual | 0.6% |
| Prior | 0.6% |
| Revised | n/a |
Still in the black, and my guess is it’s likely to be revised up with the March trade numbers that are due in in a couple of weeks.
Personal Consumption (1Q A)
| Survey | 0.7% |
| Actual | 1.0% |
| Prior | 2.3% |
| Revised | n/a |
Also holding up better than expected, and rebates are on the way.
GDP Price Index (1Q A)
| Survey | 3.0% |
| Actual | 2.6% |
| Prior | 2.4% |
| Revised | n/a |
Better than expected, still high, and with crude continuing to move up it’s going up as well.
Core PCE QoQ (1Q A)
| Survey | 2.2% |
| Actual | 2.2% |
| Prior | 2.5% |
| Revised | n/a |
The trend is up, and the Fed is monitoring it closely…
Employment Cost Index (1Q)
| Survey | 0.8% |
| Actual | 0.7% |
| Prior | 0.8% |
| Revised | n/a |
Looks under control, but not a brake on inflation.
Chicago Purchasing Manager (Apr)
| Survey | 47.5% |
| Actual | 48.3% |
| Prior | 48.2% |
| Revised | n/a |
A touch better than expected, but still trending lower.
NAPM-Milwaukee (Apr)
| Survey | n/a |
| Actual | 48.0 |
| Prior | 47.0 |
| Revised | n/a |
Also not down to recession levels yet.
FOMC Rate Decision (Apr 30)
| Survey | 2.00% |
| Actual | 2.0% |
| Prior | 2.25% |
| Revised | n/a |
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