Vehicle sales, Homebuyer affordability, Bank loans, FX reserves, Growth index, Rail traffic

Looking like an uptick here, some of it weather related?

From WardsAuto: Forecast: SAAR Expected to Surpass 17 Million in September

A WardsAuto forecast calls for U.S. light-vehicle sales to reach a 17.5 million-unit seasonally adjusted annual rate in September, following August’s 16.0 million SAAR and ending a 6-month streak of sub-17 million figures. In same-month 2016, the SAAR reached 17.6 million.

Preliminary assumptions pointed to October, rather than September, as the turning point for the market, as consumers replace vehicles lost due to natural disasters and automakers push sales to clear out excess model-year ’17 stock. However, the winds have already begun to turn, and September sales will be significantly higher than originally expected.
emphasis added

Sales have been below 17 million SAAR for six consecutive months.

No recovery here:

Another chart that may be indicating the euro liquidations have run their course:

Note that the slowdown started in November, about the same time the loan demand deceleration increased: