Went down when consensus expectations were for an increase:
Note that it peaked and then fell when oil capex collapsed:
The NFIB Index of Small Business Optimism dipped 0.03 points in September for the second consecutive month. Increased inventories fell seven points while hard-to-fill job openings plunged six points landing at 24 percent. Six of the 10 indices dropped, washing away the rise in expected business conditions.
Interesting way of saying its going to be down from last year:
Oct 9 by Bill McBride
Back down. Before the oil capex collapse 3-4% year over year growth was the norm: