Posted by WARREN MOSLER on July 6th, 2012
A couple of more hints deficits may be high enough for stability and even a bit of positive GDP growth:
By Jana Randow
July 6 (Bloomberg) — German industrial output rebounded more than economists forecast in May as construction buttressed Europe’s largest economy against the sovereign debt crisis.
Production rose 1.6 percent from April, when it dropped 2.1 percent, the Economy Ministry in Berlin said today. Economists forecast an increase of 0.2 percent, the median of 36 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey shows. Production was unchanged from a year earlier when adjusted for working days.
The European Central Bank cut interest rates to a record low yesterday as the worsening debt crisis threatens to tip the euro area, Germany’s largest export market, into recession.
While German business and investor confidence have slumped amid signs growth is slowing, record-low unemployment and demand from outside the region have helped insulate the economy. Factory orders unexpectedly rose 0.6 percent in May, the Economy Ministry said yesterday.
“German factories are still doing quite well, but we’ll see some skid marks as a result of the euro region’s debt crisis in the coming months,” said Andreas Scheuerle, an economist at Dekabank in Frankfurt. “In the euro area, everything points toward recession and the global economy has slowed to an extent that it can’t compensate for the weakness in Europe.”
Manufacturing output gained 1.8 percent in May, driven by a 3.8 percent jump in production of consumer goods, today’s report showed. Investment goods production rose 1.7 percent and construction activity was up 3.1 percent.
France’s Trade Deficit Narrowed in May to 5.3 Billion Euros
July 6 (Bloomberg) — France’s trade deficit narrowed 7.7 percent in May as exports rose.
The deficit in May was 5.325 billion euros ($6.6 billion) compared with 5.77 billion euros in April, the country’s customs office said in an e-mailed statement.
Exports rose 1.3 percent from the previous month to 37.44 billion euros while imports rose 0.1 percent to 42.77 billion euros.
For the first five months of the year, the deficit narrowed 10 percent from the same period a year ago to 29.4 billion euros
Airbus exported 22 planes for 1.58 billion euros during May, compared with 28 planes for 2.23 billion euros the previous month.