2009-04-15 USER

Posted on April 15, 2009 @ 10:29 am (Wednesday) by WARREN MOSLER

MBA Mortgage Applications (Released 7:00 EST)
MBA Purchasing Applications (Released 7:00 EST)
MBA Refinancing Applications (Released 7:00 EST)
Consumer Price Index MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
CPI Core Index SA (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index NSA (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Released 8:30 EST)
Net Long Term TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Total Net TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Industrial Production MoM (Released 9:15 EST)
Industrial Production YoY (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Released 9:15 EST)
NAHB Housing Market Index (Released 13:00 EST)
NAHB Housing Market Index TABLE 1 (Released 13:00 EST)
NAHB Housing Market Index TABLE 2 (Released 13:00 EST)

MBA Mortgage Applications (Apr 10)

Survey	n/a
Actual	-11.0%
Prior	4.7%
Revised	n/a

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MBA Purchasing Applications (Apr 10)

Survey	n/a
Actual	264.10
Prior	297.70
Revised	n/a

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MBA Refinancing Applications (Apr 10)

Survey	n/a
Actual	6071.70
Prior	6813.50
Revised	n/a

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Consumer Price Index MoM (Mar )

Survey	0.1%
Actual	-0.1%
Prior	0.4%
Revised	n/a

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CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (Mar)

Survey	0.1%
Actual	0.2%
Prior	0.2%
Revised	n/a

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Consumer Price Index YoY (Mar)

Survey	-0.1%
Actual	-0.4%
Prior	0.2%
Revised	n/a

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CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY (Mar)

Survey	1.7%
Actual	1.8%
Prior	1.8%
Revised	n/a

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CPI Core Index SA (Mar)

Survey	n/a
Actual	218.042
Prior	217.670
Revised	n/a

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Consumer Price Index NSA (Mar)

Survey	212.900
Actual	212.709
Prior	212.193
Revised	n/a

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Apr)

Survey	-35.00
Actual	-14.65
Prior	-38.23
Revised	n/a

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Apr)

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Apr)

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Net Long Term TIC Flows (Feb)

Survey	$14.0B
Actual	$22.0B
Prior	-$43.0B
Revised	-$36.8B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Feb)

Survey	n/a
Actual	-$97.0B
Prior	-$148.9B
Revised	-$146.8B

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Industrial Production MoM (Mar)

Survey	-0.9%
Actual	-1.5%
Prior	-1.4%
Revised	-1.5%

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Industrial Production YoY (Mar)

Survey	n/a
Actual	-12.8%
Prior	-11.8%
Revised	n/a

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Capacity Utilization (Mar)

Survey	69.6%
Actual	69.3%
Prior	70.9%
Revised	70.3%

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Mar)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Mar)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Mar)

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NAHB Housing Market Index (Apr)

Survey	10
Actual	14
Prior	9
Revised	n/a

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NAHB Housing Market Index TABLE 1 (Mar)

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NAHB Housing Market Index TABLE 2 (Mar)

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2009-01-16 USER

Posted on January 16, 2009 @ 8:31 am (Friday) by WARREN MOSLER

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Consumer Price Index MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY (Released 8:30 EST)
CPI Core Index SA (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index NSA (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index TABLE 1 (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index TABLE 2 (Released 8:30 EST)
Consumer Price Index TABLE 3 (Released 8:30 EST)
Net Long Term TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Total Net TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Industrial Production MoM (Released 9:15 EST)
Industrial Production YoY (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Released 9:15 EST)
U of Michigan Confidence (Released 10:00 EST)
U of Michigan TABLE Inflation Expectations (Released 10:00 EST)

Consumer Price Index MoM (Dec)

Survey	-0.9%
Actual	-0.7%
Prior	-1.7%
Revised	n/a

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CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM (Dec)

Survey	0.1%
Actual	0.0%
Prior	0.0%
Revised	n/a

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Consumer Price Index YoY (Dec)

Survey	-0.2%
Actual	0.1%
Prior	1.1%
Revised	n/a

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CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY (Dec)

Survey	1.8%
Actual	1.8%
Prior	2.0%
Revised	n/a

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CPI Core Index SA (Dec)

Survey	n/a
Actual	216.816
Prior	216.849
Revised	n/a

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Consumer Price Index NSA (Dec)

Survey	210.210
Actual	210.228
Prior	212.425
Revised	n/a

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Consumer Price Index TABLE 1 (Dec)

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Consumer Price Index TABLE 2 (Dec)

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Consumer Price Index TABLE 3 (Dec)

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Net Long Term TIC Flows (Nov)

Survey	$15.0B
Actual	-$21.7B
Prior	$1.5B
Revised	-$0.4B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Nov)

Survey	n/a
Actual	$56.8B
Prior	$286.3B
Revised	$260.6B

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Industrial Production MoM (Dec)

Survey	-1.0%
Actual	-2.0%
Prior	-0.6%
Revised	-1.3%

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Industrial Production YoY (Dec)

Survey	n/a
Actual	-5.5%
Prior	-4.5%
Revised	n/a

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Capacity Utilization (Dec)

Survey	74.5%
Actual	73.6%
Prior	75.4%
Revised	75.2%

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Dec)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Dec)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Dec)

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U of Michigan Confidence (Jan P)

Survey	59.0
Actual	61.9
Prior	60.1
Revised	n/a

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U of Michigan TABLE Inflation Expectations (Jan P )

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2008-12-15 USER

Posted on December 15, 2008 @ 7:37 am (Monday) by WARREN MOSLER

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Released 8:30 EST)
Net Long Term TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Total Net TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
TIC ALLX (Released 9:00 EST)
TIC TABLE 1 (Released 9:00 EST)
TIC TABLE 2 (Released 9:00 EST)
TIC TABLE 3 (Released 9:00 EST)
Industrial Production MoM (Released 9:15 EST)
Industrial Production YoY (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Released 9:15 EST)
Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Released 9:15 EST)

Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Dec)

Survey	-28.00
Actual	-25.76
Prior	-25.43
Revised	n/a

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Dec)

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Dec)

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Net Long Term TIC Flows (Oct)

Survey	$40.0B
Actual	$1.5B
Prior	$66.2B
Revised	$65.4B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Oct)

Survey	n/a
Actual	$286.3B
Prior	$143.4B
Revised	$142.6B

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TIC ALLX (Oct)

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TIC TABLE 1 (Oct)

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TIC TABLE 2 (Oct)

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TIC TABLE 3 (Oct)

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Industrial Production MoM (Nov)

Survey	-0.8%
Actual	-0.6%
Prior	1.3%
Revised	1.5%

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Industrial Production YoY (Nov)

Survey	n/a
Actual	-5.5%
Prior	-4.5%
Revised	n/a

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Capacity Utilization (Nov)

Survey	75.6%
Actual	75.4%
Prior	76.4%
Revised	76.0%

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Nov)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Nov)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Nov)

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2008-06-16 US Economic Releases

Posted on June 16, 2008 @ 10:21 am (Monday) by WARREN MOSLER

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Empire Manufacturing (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire Manufacturing TABLE (Released 8:30 EST)
Net Long-term TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Total Net TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
TIC TABLE (Released 9:00 EST)
NAHB Housing Market Index (Released 13:00 EST)
NAHB ALLX (Released 13:00 EST)

Empire Manufacturing (Jun)

Survey	-2.0
Actual	-8.7
Prior	-3.2
Revised	n/a

Empire Manufacturing TABLE (Jun)

Looks like the worst is over, but the economy remains on the weak side.

Prices paid still way high.

Looks like number of employees up as well.

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Net Long-term TIC Flows (Apr)

Survey	$63.3B
Actual	$115.1B
Prior	$80.4B
Revised	$79.6B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Apr)

Survey	$42.5B
Actual	$60.6B
Prior	-$48.2B
Revised	$79.6B

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TIC TABLE (Apr)

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NAHB Housing Market Index (Jun)

Survey	19
Actual	18
Prior	19
Revised	n/a

A bit worse than expected. Confidence is down all over due to food/crude/import prices. Might be the case here.

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NAHB Housing Market Index (Jun)

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2008-05-15 US Economic Releases

Posted on May 15, 2008 @ 8:40 am (Thursday) by WARREN MOSLER

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Initial Jobless Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
Continuing Claims (Released 8:30 EST)
Empire Manufacturing (Released 8:30 EST)
Net Long-term TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Total Net TIC Flows (Released 9:00 EST)
Industrial Production (Released 9:00 EST)
Capacity Utilization (Released 9:15 EST)
Philadelphia Fed. (Released 10:00 EST)
NAHB Housing Market Index (Released 13:00 EST)

Initial Jobless Claims (May 10)

Survey	370K
Actual	371K
Prior	365K
Revised	n/a

Looks like it’s past the peak.

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Continuing Claims (May 3)

Survey	3035K
Actual	3060K
Prior	3020K
Revised	3032K

Looks like it’s not past the peak.

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Empire Manufacturing (May)

Survey	0.0
Actual	-3.2
Prior	0.6
Revised	n/a

Still off the bottom, needs another month to see where it’s going.

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Net Long-term TIC Flows (Mar)

Survey	$62.5B
Actual	$80.4B
Prior	$72.5B
Revised	$64.9B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Mar)

Survey	$67.5B
Actual	-$48.2B
Prior	$64.1B
Revised	$48.9B

In general I expect these types of numbers to follow the trade gap down.

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Industrial Production (Apr)

Survey	-0.3%
Actual	-0.7%
Prior	0.3%
Revised	0.2%

Still weak. Been weak for 50 years.

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Capacity Utilization (Apr)

Survey	80.1%
Actual	79.7%
Prior	80.5%
Revised	80.4%

Weak, but not recession levels yet.

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Philadelphia Fed. (May)

Survey	-19.0
Actual	-15.6
Prior	-24.9
Revised	n/a

Philadelphia Fed. TABLE

Perking up from low levels,
prices high and moving higher

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NAHB Housing Market Index (May)

Survey	20
Actual	19
Prior	20
Revised	n/a

Still off the lows and looking like a bottom to me.

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