Saudi Uneasy With High Oil Price, Worried About Economy

Could be just talk or a prelude to a price cut.
No way to tell in advance- it’s a political decision on their part.

And it’s not illegal for them to place their personal and state bets first, and then cut price.
And it’s not illegal for them to cut any kind of a deal with anyone, anywhere in the world with regard to price.

In fact, it would be foolish not to.

Saudi uneasy with high oil price, worried about economy

By Cho Mee-young and Miyoung Kim

April 26 (Reuters) — Top oil exporter Saudi Arabia is uneasy with high oil prices and concerned about their impact on the global economy, the chief executive of state oil firm Aramco said on Tuesday.

Oil prices recovered from early losses on Tuesday, with Brent crude LCOc1 trading up 16 cents at $123.82 a barrel at 1059 GMT. Aramco Chief Executive Khalid al-Falih’s comments at an industry event in South Korea had weighed on sentiment earlier, when prices fell amid a wider decline in commodities.

“We are not comfortable with oil prices where they are today…I am concerned about the impact it could have on the global economy,” Falih told an industry gathering in South Korea.

There was no tightness in global oil markets, Falih said. His comments echoed those of Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi, who said last week that the kingdom had cut oil output in March as the market was oversupplied.

Unrest in North Africa and the Middle East and strong demand growth in Asia have pushed oil prices to their highest levels since 2008, triggering concern among consumers costly oil would harm economic growth and crimp fuel demand. OPEC producers also warned last week of the strain of high energy prices on economies still fragile as they emerge from the global financial crisis.

The kingdom has enough capacity to meet any spike in demand and plug short-term outages in supply, Falih said, adding that without Saudi spare capacity, oil price volatility would have been a lot worse when Libyan supply was lost.

OPEC’s largest producer boosted supply in February to above 9 million bpd to plug the gap left by fellow OPEC member Libya, where civil war cut exports. Saudi Arabia is the only oil producer with significant spare capacity to meet large supply outages such as that experienced in Libya.

Riyadh boosted capacity to 12.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2009, just as the global economic downturn cut demand. This left it with a supply cushion of over 4 million bpd, more than twice the spare capacity it targets of 1.5 million bpd to 2 million bpd. Output stood at 8.292 million bpd in March, down from 9.125 million bpd in February.

“People need to know that there are millions of barrels per day of spare capacity available,” Falih said.

SAUDI ARABIA HAS CUT OIL PRODUCTION ON WEAK DEMAND

As discussed, what they actually do is set price for their refiners and then let them buy as much as they want at that price.

They use ‘speculation’ and the like for ‘cover’ for raising and lowering their prices.

SAUDI ARABIA HAS CUT OIL PRODUCTION BACK TO APPROXIMATELY 8.5 MLN BPD ON WEAK DEMAND – SAUDI INDUSTRY SOURCES

SAUDI HAD PRODUCED UP TO 9.2 MLN BPD FOR AT LEAST PART OF MARCH ON LIBYA DISRUPTION – SAUDI INDUSTRY SOURCES

SAUDI PREPARED TO BOOST OUTPUT IF THE MARKET REQUIRES MORE CRUDE – SAUDI INDUSTRY SOURCES

Comments from the Algeria Oil Minister

DJ Algeria Oil Min:Increasingly Hard To Understand Market Dynamics

Agreed!

DJ Algeria Oil Min:Oil Markets Increasingly Respond To Financial Speculation

Agreed! The funds involved in commodity speculation dwarf the funds involved in the physical markets

DJ Algeria Oil Min:Market Volatility Makes Energy Investment Difficult

Agreed! The risk of a price collapse is a major factor for long term investment decisions.

DJ Algeria Oil Min: Seeking To Exploit Shale Fields In Algeria
DJ Algeria Oil Min: Will Seek Partnerships To Exploit Unconventional Oil, Gas
DJ Algeria Oil Min:Sonatrach, Partners To Invest $2.5B/Year On Unconventional Hydrocarbons
DJ Algeria Oil Min: Europe Will Need Long-Term Gas Contracts

Yes, long term contract work best for both producers and users to ensure the viability of investments and the stability of supply and price

DJ Algeria Oil Min: No Shortage Of Physical Oil

Agreed! Reinforces the fact that the Saudis are the swing producer/ultimate price setter as previously discussed

DJ Algeria Oil Min: OPEC Will Respond If There’s A Shortage Of Crude

Confirming excess Saudi capacity estimates

DJ Algeria Oil Min: No Requests For Extra Crude From Algeria

Confirming no supply shortages and Saudi price setting