Paulson Archive

Paulson text

[Skip to the end] “During the two weeks that Congress considered the legislation, market conditions worsened considerably. It was clear to me by the time the bill was signed on October 3rd that we needed to act quickly and forcefully, and that purchasing troubled assets—our initial focus—would take time to implement and ...Read More

NYT: Fed to Give A.I.G. $85 bln Loan and Takeecon

[Skip to the end] The Fed has a major strategic advantage over private sector buyers. With the Fed making the loan, credit spreads in general should narrow. This will add value to AIG’s short credit position which is where most of the mark to market losses are. So the Fed’s actions to ...Read More

Thoughts on the bailout of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae

[Skip to the end] It comes down to public purpose. The agencies were set up to provide low cost funding for moderate income home buyers. They have done that reasonably well. However, for probably 20 years I’ve been saying the agencies should fund themselves directly with the Treasury or Fed financing bank ...Read More

Bloomberg: Paulson continues weak USD policy

[Skip to the end] Seems Paulson is still blocking foreign CBs from accumulating USD financial assets. This is a negative for the USD and a negative for US real terms of trade. It does support US exports and reduces the need to add to domestic demand, even as US consumption remains low. ...Read More

Bloomberg: Stern Says Fed Rate Rise `Can’t Wait’ for Markets to Stabilize

[Skip to the end] A minority view but a growing one. They are thinking the low rates are destabilizing the housing and financial markets via the weak USD channel. Stern Says Fed Rate Rise `Can’t Wait’ for Markets to Stabilize by Vivien Lou Chen (Bloomberg) Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Gary ...Read More

FT: Time for comrade Paulson to pull the plug on the Fannie and Freddie charade

[Skip to the end] Totally misguided regarding public purpose. For one thing, the shareholders of the agencies are still there for ‘market discipline’ – all that’s been done for them is eliminated liquidity issues, not solvency issues. At the end of the day a lot of houses were built for a lot ...Read More

Schmidt of RBS favors USD over Euro — a turning point?????

[Skip to the end] Bloomberg News Video Clip Maybe, but… It will be tough for the USD index to move up without the CBs and monetary authorities buying it, and that means crossing Paulson and accepting being labeled a ‘currency manipulator’ and ‘outlaw.’ And the higher crude prices mean USD spent on ...Read More

DXY and exports

[Skip to the end] Dollar Index vs US Exports Right – seems to me the dollar will fall until it’s at a level where the trade gap goes to about zero. So even though exports are way up and the trade gap down, there could be a lot more to go. A ...Read More

2008-05-03 Weekend update (in brief)

[Skip to the end] No recession here, and Q1 likely to be revised higher when March trade numbers come out. Q3 could be 2% depending on the multiplier from the fiscal package, and by Q3 other government spending will be kicking in for the elections and housing is unlikely to be subtracting ...Read More

Money (USD)

My take on the USD: It was at a level based on foreigners wanting to accumulate $70 billion per month which also = the US trade gap (accounting identity). Most of that desire to accumulate came from foreign CBs trying to support their exporters, oil producers accumulating USD financial assets, and foreign ...Read More