Mortgage Delinquencies Pass 10%


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Looks like nothing is trickling down, at least yet, even with 5.7% real growth. Still going the other way, in fact, for the lowest income groups.

On Wed, Feb 3, 2010 at 9:38 PM, Russell Huntley wrote:

From Jon Prior at HousingWire:

Mortgage Delinquencies Pass 10%: LPS

Home-loan delinquency rates in the US reached 10% in December, up from the record-high 9.97% in November, according to Lender Processing Services … which provides data on mortgage performance.

Accounting for foreclosures in the pipeline, the total non-current rate stands at 13.3% …. When extrapolated for the entire mortgage industry, 7.2m mortgage loans are behind on their payments.

More foreclosures and short sales coming!

Note: the MBA reported the delinquency rate in Q3 was 9.64%; the MBA Q4 delinquency data will be released soon.


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bank ‘hoarding of cash’


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Agreed. And as I’ve been saying since day one. The transmission mechanism he references isn’t broken. It never existed.

The reason banks are ‘hoarding cash’ is that the Fed has exchanged reserve balances for securities it bought in the market place.

The Fed determines reserves/’hoarding’ and not the banks.

From Dave Rosenberg: Look at the charts below and you will see how little effect the policy stimulus is exerting leaving the government continuing with demand-growth policies, such as extended and expanded housing tax credits, and the Fed, Treasury and the FHA doing all it can to keep the credit taps open … and for marginal borrowers at that. So the charts below show what, exactly? That the transmission mechanism from monetary policy to the financial system and the broad economy is still broken fully 2½ years after the first Fed rate cut. Cash on bank balance sheets as a share of total assets is at a three-decade high.

Bank lending to households and businesses has contracted more than 7% from a year ago, an unheard-of rate of decline unless you want to go back to Japan in the 90s or the U.S.A. in the 30s.





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