Growth Archive

U.S. and Eur Data/GDP Downgrades

Karim writes: U.S. data on the soft side (October) Most notable is core durable goods orders (capex has been gwth leader of late) falling 1.8% and 3mth annual rate slowing to 4% from 7.3% Core shipments (more important for current quarter growth) down 1.1% Personal spending up 0.1%. Personal income up 0.4% ...Read More

China News

Reads to me like policy is moving back towards growth and ‘inflation?’ I don’t expect runaway inflation but enough to continue to fundamentally continue to weaken the currency. China’s currency has been fundamentally weakened for the last couple of years, while being supported vs the dollar by foreign investment, speculation, and what ...Read More

Marshall Auerback’s Euro Update Video

Marshal Aueback says: My latest attempt to explain it all. Is the ECB Europe’s Last Hope? ...Read More

German “wise men” (classic oxymoron) warn ECB is risking credibility

German “wise men” warn ECB is risking credibility By Alexandra Hudson November 9 (Reuters) — Germany’s “wise men” panel of economic advisers warned the European Central Bank it risks losing credibility by buying the bonds of heavily-indebted euro zone states, and that monetary and fiscal policy are becoming worryingly blurred. The group, ...Read More

France Unveils New Budget Savings as Growth Slows

May as well call it the Sarcophagus plan. It’s all they know how to do. And again, like the carpenter said of his piece of wood, no matter how many times I cut it it’s still too short. France Unveils New Budget Savings as Growth Slows By Alexandria Sagr November 7 (Reuters) ...Read More

China Extends Crackdown on Off-Balance-Sheet Loans

Cutbacks now will further slow things: China Extends Crackdown on Off-Balance-Sheet Loans July 4 (Reuters) — China’s bank regulator has cracked down on off-balance-sheet lending by the country’s banks, sources told Reuters on Monday, its latest step to prevent over-zealous and risky lending from hurting its financial system. China Banking Regulatory Commission ...Read More

The fix is in – strong growth for 2008?

We have gone from the jobless recovery to the full employment recession. Recap of prospects for strong GDP in 2008 – details/support covered in previous posts: Government spending has been moved forward and is now kicking in. Exports accelerating, sustainable, and keeping personal income growing. Business inventories are very low. Fiscal package ...Read More