Fed Archive

It must be impossible for the Fed to create inflation

Hardly an hour goes by without some pundit pushing the possibility of some kind of run away inflation, with Zimbabwe and Weimar rolling off the tongues of ordinary Americans everywhere. And Congressman and candidates of all persuasions continuously lambaste the Fed for debasing the currency. There’s no question the Fed has been ...Read More

Comments on Senator Sanders article on the Fed

Dear Senator Sanders, Thank you for your attention to this matter! My comments appear below: The Veil of Secrecy at the Fed Has Been Lifted, Now It’s Time for Change By Senator Bernie Sanders November 2 (Huffington Post) — As a result of the greed, recklessness, and illegal behavior on Wall Street, ...Read More

News recap comments

The news flow from last week was so voluminous it was nearly impossible to process. For good measure I want to start today’s commentary with a simple recap of what happened. On the negative side – · Greece called a referendum and threw bailout plans up in the air taking Greek 2yrs ...Read More

Payrolls and a Fed rant

Utter failure of policy. The Fed was certain it knew what Japan had done wrong and wasn’t going to make THOSE mistakes. So it Cut rates much more aggressively. Said it would do whatever it takes. Figured out how to do its job as liquidity provider after only 6 months of alphabet ...Read More

President Obama entering the fray

More of the blind leading the blind. The one thing they all agree on, at great expense to global well being, is the budget deficits are all too large and the need for shared sacrifice and all that. No chance for anything constructive to come out of any of this. And these ...Read More

The Euro Zone Race to the Bottom

While the symptoms get continuous attention as they get threatening enough, the underlying cause-the austerity- does not. The euro zone, like most of the world, is failing to meet its further economic objectives because of a lack of aggregate demand. And in the euro zone, the fundamental problem is that the member ...Read More

Macro Curve Considerations

By the end of QE2 the curve had adjusted to the Fed having taken out pretty much all of the new supply out to 10 years. After QE2 the supply out to 10 years started to be replenished auction by auction. This was quickly followed by twist which began working to remove ...Read More

Bernanke: No Plans to Add New Stimulus Measures Now

More evidence of the suspected understanding with China- they resumed buying US Tsy secs in return for no more QE: The U.S. economy “has been doing worse than expected” and Beijing needs to “seriously assess” possible risks to its vast holdings of American debt, said Yu Bin, an economist in the Cabinet’s ...Read More

Fed Turns Over Record $78.4 Billion Profit to Treasury

And not even a hint they removed even more than that much interest income from the private sector. (the $78.4 billion is after expenses) Fed Turns Over Record $78.4 Billion Profit to Treasury By: Reuters The Federal Reserve reported Monday its earnings jumped by more than 50 percent in 2010 to a ...Read More

FMOC Minutes

New Forecasts (central tendency and range of forecasts) in Table 1 below: Long-Run inflation forecast of 1.6-2.0% is basically their target; 2011 and 2012 unemployment forecasts revised up by 0.6-0.7%. Note that low-end of GDP forecast for 2011 is 2.5%. This is above many other forecasters. Interesting Observations from FRB Staff; Outlook ...Read More