2008-04-01 US Economic Releases

2008-04-01 ISM Manufacturing

ISM Manufacturing (Mar)

Survey 47.5
Actual 48.6
Prior 48.3
Revised n/a

Still soft, but better than expected and not at recession levels of 44 or less.


2008-04-01 ISM Prices Paid

ISM Prices Paid (Mar)

Survey 75.0
Actual 83.5
Prior 75.5
Revised n/a

2008-04-01 ISM TABLE

2008-04-01 ISM TABLE

ISM TABLE

Prices paid up and employment up -inflation and a lower output gap- not the direction the Fed wants the economy to be going.


2008-04-01 Construction Spending MoM

Construction Spending MoM (Feb)

Survey -1.0%
Actual -0.3%
Prior -1.7%
Revised -1.0%

Better than expected, prior month revised up, and the chart still looks lower but not all that bad.


2008-04-01 ABC Consumer Confidence

ABC Consumer Confidence (Mar 30)

Survey -n/a
Actual -33
Prior -31
Revised n/a

Seems to have bottomed, and today’s stock market action should give it a boost.


2008-04-01 Total Vehicle Sales

Total Vehicle Sales (Mar)

Survey 15.2M
Actual 15.1M
Prior 15.3M
Revised n/a

2008-04-01 Domestic Vehicle Sales

Domestic Vehicle Sales

Survey 11.6M
Actual 11.1M
Prior 11.7M
Revised n/a

Still working its way lower.

2008-01-03 US Economic Releases

2008-01-03 MBA Mortgage Applications

MBA Mortgage Applications (Dec 28)

Survey n/a
Actual -11/6%
Prior -7.6%
Revised n/a

Last December number – purchase applications normally shoot back up in January.


2008-01-03 Challenger Job Cuts YoY

Challenger Job Cuts YoY (Dec)

Survey n/a
Actual -18.7%
Prior -4.7%
Revised n/a

Graph looks OK.


2008-01-03 ADP Employment Change

ADP Employment Change (Dec)

Survey 33K
Actual 40K
Prior 189K
Revised 173K

A touch better than expected, trending down some, but fed thinks there are fewer people left to hire. This is a real number as ADP reports the actual number of people on its payroll system.


2008-01-03 Initial Jobless Claims

Initial Jobless Claims

Survey 345K
Actual 336K
Prior 349K
Revised 357K

This kind of drop means there is no weakness indicated here.


2008-01-03 Continuing Claims

Continuing Claims (Dec 22)

2008-01-03 Continuing Claims from 1980

Continuing Claims since 1980

Survey 2675K
Actual 2761K
Prior 2713K
Revised 2715K

Up some, but the long term graph looks fine.


2008-01-03 Factory Orders

Factory Orders (Nov)

Survey 0.5%
Actual 1.5%
Prior 0.5%
Revised 0.7%

No weakness here.


2008-01-03 Total Vehicle Sales

Total Vehicle Sales (Dec)

Survey 16.0M
Actual 16.3M
Prior 16.2M
Revised n/a

Still on the soft side, but no disaster.


2008-01-03 Domestic Vehicle Sales

Domestic Vehicle Sales (Dec)

Survey 12.2M
Actual 12.5M
Prior 12.4M
Revised n/a

As above.


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