Economic Releases Archive
Architecture billings, Housing starts, Real estate loans
Economic Releases
Nov 18, 2020
Still in contraction: One unit starts are up but not enough to make up for the dip yet: And housing remains historically depressed, and more so when factoring in population growth: And lending growth has turned negative:
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Retail sales, Industrial production
Economic Releases
Nov 17, 2020
The lost sales are water under the bridge as current sales growth has declined and leveled off as federal support for lost personal income fades: Same pattern here- big dip, but only a partial recovery before leveling off:
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Consumer sentiment, restaurants, Oil consumption, Covid
Economic Releases
Nov 16, 2020
An already weak economy seems to be turning south: Deaths lag new cases by several weeks= they are going a lot higher:
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Unemployment claims, Mtg purchase apps
Economic Releases
Nov 12, 2020
Still over 700,000 new claims this long after the collapse: Still hasn’t recovered from the 2008 collapse:
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Employment, ADP, vehicle sales
Economic Releases
Nov 06, 2020
Still down over 10 million jobs vs pre covid: The Cares Act expenditures are winding down… Private payroll recovery leveling off: Same pattern. Collapse, partial recovery, then sideways to down:
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GDP, jobless claims, pending home sales
Economic Releases
Oct 29, 2020
Partial recovery but recent data shows growth stalling while a large gap (unemployment) persists as tariffs, covid, and no additional fiscal support continue: The gap initially closed relatively quickly, but progress has slowed:
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Durable goods, Covid, Gasoline supplied
Economic Releases
Oct 27, 2020
Still trending lower: More testing AND the % positive is up as new cases and deaths, which lag new cases, increase: Weakening:
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New home sales, Chicago Fed survey, Lumber prices, US survey
Economic Releases
Oct 26, 2020
Trump looks to be losing by a substantial margin at the moment, which means to me that there won’t be a fiscal adjustment before January’s new Congress, and without a sufficient majority in the Senate all initiatives may be blocked indefinitely. Most likely new home sales at best return to their pre
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Mtg purchase apps, Housing starts, Small business jobs
Economic Releases
Oct 21, 2020
Becoming clear housing isn’t doing all that well:
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Vehicle sales, Retail sales, Industrial production
Economic Releases
Oct 16, 2020
Monthly sales rates peaked in 2016 when oil capex collapsed, then leveled off, then started sliding again with the tariffs, then collapsed with the covid shock, and have nearly recovered to the lower levels: As with vehicles, the rate of monthly sales has recovered to prior levels, but sales lost during the
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