China Archive

MTG Purchase Apps, EU Industrial Production, China Industrial Production, JOLTS

Yes, purchase apps are up 20% vs last year, but you can see from the chart the number of applications has leveled off and declined a bit more recently this year, and remains at depressed levels: The slump in industrial production is global: European Union : Industrial Production Highlights Industrial production declined ...Read More

China, Germany, Productivity, NFIB Index, Redbook, Wholesale Trade

A few thoughts: China’s US Tsy holding had been falling perhaps because they were selling $ to buy Yuan to keep it within in the prior band. Pretty much all exporting nation’s currencies have already weakened vs the $, including the Yen and Euro, so this is a bit of a ‘catch ...Read More

Fed Labor Indicator, NY Fed Consumer Expectations, Lumber Prices, China Trade

This Fed indicator, whatever it means, just went down some: Labor Market Conditions Index Highlights If the Fed relied exclusively on its labor market conditions index, no one would be in much hurry for the rate hike. The index for July came in slightly below expectations at 1.1 vs a revised 1.4 ...Read More

China trade, Greece comment

More reason to suspect US exports will disappoint and US imports will exceed expectations: ...Read More

existing home sales, Greece and China comments

So after cheering the big jump last month to 112.4, it gets revised down to only 111.6, so the lower than expected print of 112.6 vs 113 expected is now hailed as a larger than expected increase from last month, as the shameless cheer leading continues: United States : Pending Home Sales ...Read More

China cuts rates, Atlanta Fed, car sale comment, Greek PM comments

As the carpenter said about his piece of wood, ‘no matter how much I cut off it’s still too short’: China’s central bank cut its benchmark lending rates by 25 basis points to 4.85 percent on Saturday, the fourth reduction since November, as it gears up to lower borrowing costs and support ...Read More

mtg purchase apps, China comment

Mortgage purchase apps were up 10% for the week, leaving them about 15% higher than last year, which is where they’ve been for a while. However, cash sales are down sharply, so it seems that buyers have shifted from all cash to borrowing, leaving the total purchases about the same: Weekly mortgage ...Read More

IMF re France, truck tonnage, China PMI, Japan PMI

More of same pro cyclical pressure: France slammed by IMF for record-high spending By Holly Ellyatt May 20 (CNBC) — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned France that it must reduce government spending and debt levels, as well as tackling its sticky unemployment rate. The IMF said in its latest economic ...Read More

China, Bunds, and Fed’s labor market index

As if rate cuts will help: China cuts interest rates for third time since Nov as economy sputters May 10 (Reuters) — China’s central bank cut its benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to 5.1 percent on Sunday, its third reduction since November, as economic growth cools to levels not seen ...Read More

china pmi, ADP, productivity

Still slipping in Q2 China : PMI Composite Highlights HSBC China Composite PMI, which covers both manufacturing and services, indicated an expansion of Chinese business activity in April but at a weaker pace. Activity growth slowed to a three month low with a reading of 51.3, down from 51.8 in March. The ...Read More