Thanks, if private sector borrowing to spend is going to kick in this is as likely a spot as any:

>   
>   On Thu, Oct 6, 2011 at 10:30 AM, EDWARD LASHINSKI, ABN AMRO CLEARING CH wrote:
>   
>   Recent news that US holiday sales are expected to be up 2.8% ( http://bit.ly/nIjmtE ) as well
>   as September sales estimates exceeding estimates at 6.1% (vs. 5.1%) with 13 of 21 retailers
>   beating consensus is constructive. If tomorrow’s NFP is at all modest it will portend very
>   positively for the US economy’s improving prospects in Q4, which could be a game changer.
>   

U.S. Homebuilders’ Improving Markets Index

By Kristy Scheuble

October 6 (Bloomberg) — Following is the text of the Improving Markets Index (IMI) from the National Association of Home Builders.

Number of Improving Housing Markets Nearly Doubles in October

The second edition of the National Association of Home Builders/ First American Improving Markets Index (IMI), released today, shows 23 individual housing markets now qualifying as “improving” under the new gauge’s parameters. This is nearly double the 12 housing markets that made the list last month.

The index reveals metropolitan areas that have shown improvement for at least six months in housing permits, employment and housing prices. The following metros were listed in October:

· Alexandria, LA · Amarillo, TX · Anchorage, AK · Bismarck, ND · Casper, WY · Fairbanks, AK · Fayetteville, NC · Houma, LA · Iowa City, IA · Jonesboro, AR · Kankakee, IL · McAllen, TX · Midland, TX · New Orleans, LA · Odessa, TX · Pine Bluff, AR · Pittsburgh, PA · Sherman, TX · Sumter, SC · Waco, TX · Waterloo, IA · Wichita Falls, TX · Winston-Salem, NC

“Both the number and geographic diversity of improving housing markets expanded this month, with Iowa, Illinois and South Carolina all newly represented by one entry or more on the list,” said National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Chairman Bob Nielsen, a home builder from Reno, Nev. “This is further evidence that, despite the tough conditions that persist in many cities, pockets of improvement are emerging in local housing markets across the country.”

“While Pittsburgh and New Orleans remain the two largest improving markets, the October IMI is heavily weighted by smaller cities in which energy and agriculture are the primary economic drivers and where the effects of the recession have been less pronounced,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “In particular, Texas stands out for its seven entries on the improving markets list.”

Bangor, Maine, was the only area to drop off of the improving markets list in October, due to a decline in local building permits.

The IMI is designed to track housing markets throughout the country that are showing signs of improving economic health. The index measures three sets of independent monthly data to get a mark on the top improving Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The three indicators that are analyzed are employment growth from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, house price appreciation from Freddie Mac, and single-family housing permit growth from the U.S. Census Bureau. NAHB uses the latest available data from these sources to generate a list of improving markets. A metro area must see improvement in all three areas for at least six months following their respective troughs before being included on the improving markets list.

Editor’s Note: The NAHB/First American Improving Markets Index (IMI) is released on the fourth business day of each month at 10:00 a.m. ET, unless that day falls on a Friday – in which case, the index will be released the following Monday. A full calendar of 2011 release dates can be found at www.nahb.org/imi.