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Brazil’s Mantega

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on January 4th, 2011

The Brazilian miracle-

Tight enough fiscal/low enough domestic demand for an appreciating currency,

FX buying to keep it there and support the exporters with lower real wages

= ‘good looking’ Financials at the expense of the overall real standard of living

*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Dollar Weaker Globally On US Econ Improvement
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Govt Ready To Take Measures Against Strong Real
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Govt Preparing Reduction Of Spending
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Govt Starts Year With Low Spending
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Current Dollar Level Hurts Exports
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Won’t Announce Any Currency Measures Today
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Will Seek To Protect Trade Surplus
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Will Take Measures To Maintain Trade Surplus
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: We’ll Act In Both Forex And Commercial Areas
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: We Have Authorization Of G-20 To Act In Forex
*DJ Brazil’s Mantega: Haven’t Defined Size Of Budget Cuts

The miracle is the leadership gets the population to support them.

5 Responses to “Brazil’s Mantega”

  1. Jason Says:

    Hi Warren

    I was wondering if the policies of any particular emerging economics impress you.

    I think Indian, Singapore has a low employment rate. Also, from an employment perspective, it seems Brazil is quite low (saw both ~6% and ~9% so not sure which is the right number).

    Reply

    WARREN MOSLER Reply:

    I’m not a fan of export driven growth models

    Reply

  2. Jim Says:

    Re: I’m not a fan of export driven growth models.

    I couldn’t agree with you more. Half a lifetime of living in S. America and travel elsewhere has more than amply demonstrated the catastrophe of neo-liberal economics. It creates a horrible GINI index, and concretely it results in what has aptly been termed “islands of wealth in a sea poverty.” The governing elites in these countries are just incredibly self-centered, basically shills for global corporate interests and they totally buy into the crassest ideals of “progress.”

    Perhaps you know of an exception, Warren, but I can’t think of one in the entire “2nd” and “3rd” worlds–maybe Argentina, recently, up to a very limited point, inasmuch as they told the IMF to take a hike.

    Reply

  3. WARREN MOSLER Says:

    On Wed, Jan 5, 2011 at 1:54 AM, Aaron Stearns @avmltd.com> wrote:
    Hi Warren, I’ve been in Brazil for two weeks now and from the ground level I see an inflation problem developing. Nomimal prices are up all over the place (food, parking, clothing, cinema, ect..) from the same time last I was here last year. And the Brazilians are really starting to take notice. Real estate prices through the roof as well.

    Reply

    Andrew Reply:

    What is causing the inflation?

    Reply

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