More Bernanke testimony

>   
>   (email exchange)
>   
>   On Wed, Feb 24, 2010 at 10:37 AM, wrote:
>   
>   It’s not worthy of any comment, other than to show that even the Fed doesn’t
>   understand its own operations:
>   

“These constraints will discourage institutions from lending their reserve balances as they continue to work to stabilize their operations.”

>   
>   Banks don’t lend from their reserve balances. That’s a fact. How can you take someone
>   seriously when they get an elementary fact like that wrong? Banks DO NOT use reserve
>   balances to create loans. They create loans and deposits simultaneously out of thin
>   air. They use reserve balances to settle payments or meet reserve requirements ONLY.
>   If a bank is short reserve balances for either of these purposes, the Fed provides an
>   overdraft AUTOMATICALLY at a stated penalty rate, which the bank then clears via the
>   money markets or the cheapest alternative. Whether banks in the aggregate hold $1 or
>   $1 trillion in reserve balances, there operational ability to create loans is the
>   same . . . infinite! (Though the creation of even 1 loan requires a willing,
>   credit-worthy borrow in the first place, of course.)
>   

Bernanke testimony


Karim writes:

Generally more upbeat on economic conditions….the ‘2 Es’ remain, but adds high-profile qualifier ‘ALTHOUGH’…watching Q&A

Final Demand
Private final demand does seem to be growing at a moderate pace, buoyed in part by a general improvement in financial conditions. In particular, consumer spending has recently picked up, reflecting gains in real disposable income and household wealth and tentative signs of stabilization in the labor market. Business investment in equipment and software has risen significantly. And international trade–supported by a recovery in the economies of many of our trading partners–is rebounding from its deep contraction of a year ago. However, starts of single-family homes, which rose noticeably this past spring, have recently been roughly flat, and commercial construction is declining sharply, reflecting poor fundamentals and continued difficulty in obtaining financing.

Credit
The improvement in financial markets that began last spring continues. Conditions in short-term funding markets have returned to near pre-crisis levels. Many (mostly larger) firms have been able to issue corporate bonds or new equity and do not seem to be hampered by a lack of credit. In contrast, bank lending continues to contract, reflecting both tightened lending standards and weak demand for credit amid uncertain economic prospects.

Jobs
Some recent indicators suggest the deterioration in the labor market is abating: Job losses have slowed considerably, and the number of full-time jobs in manufacturing rose modestly in January. Initial claims for unemployment insurance have continued to trend lower, and the temporary services industry, often considered a bellwether for the employment outlook, has been expanding steadily since October. Notwithstanding these positive signs, the job market remains quite weak, with the unemployment rate near 10 percent and job openings scarce.

FF Rate
Although the federal funds rate is likely to remain exceptionally low for an extended period, as the expansion matures, the Federal Reserve will at some point need to begin to tighten monetary conditions to prevent the development of inflationary pressures.

Sequencing
Of course, the sequencing of steps and the combination of tools that the Federal Reserve uses as it exits from its currently very accommodative policy stance will depend on economic and financial developments.

ECB likely to extend lending unlimited funds at fixed

At least part of the ECB has repeatedly shown they do understand monetary operations and that it’s about price and not quantity.

Subject: RTRS-ECB LIKELY TO EXTEND LENDING UNLIMITED FUNDS AT FIXED

RTRS-ECB LIKELY TO EXTEND LENDING UNLIMITED FUNDS AT FIXED
RATES INTO START OF Q3 AT MARCH MEETING-EURO ZONE MONETARY
SOURCES
RTRS-SOME AT ECB CONCERNED ABOUT KEEPING LONGER-TERM OPS AT
FIXED RATES FOR TOO LONG- EURO ZONE C.BANK SOURCES
RTRS-IMPORTANT TO PROVIDE INSTRUMENTS TO COVER 12-MONTH TENDER
MATURING ON JULY 1

on the back of above headlines
-curve steepening back, 2bps move
-front end bid
-pers better bid (Greece 5bps move)