Claims/Philly Fed

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Karim writes:

Data tug-of-war continues as manufacturing rebounding under inventory rebuild, but labor market stays weak and indicating that underlying demand not improving all that much

  • Claims weaker than expected
  • Initial up 15k to 576k with prior week revised +3k
  • Continuing claims up 2k (prior week revised up 37k), extended benefits down 48k and emergency benefits up 92k
  • Overall, weak labor market data
  • Philly Fed firmer than expected in keeping with inventory rebuild that is driving manufacturing
  • National ISM may exceed 50 in next 2-3mths, consistent with inventories adding about 2% to GDP gwth in H2

August July
Activity 4.2 -7.5
Prices paid 10.0 -7.5
New Orders 4.2 -2.2
Shipments 0.6 -9.5
# of Employees -12.9 -25.3