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MOSLER'S LAW: There is no financial crisis so deep that a sufficiently large tax cut or spending increase cannot deal with it.

Archive for August 6th, 2009

China wanting to buy TIPS

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 6th August 2009


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This is another blunder by the Obama administration due to not understanding the monetary system.

We don’t need China or any other investor to ‘buy the debt’ yet we think we do and think they are in a position to ‘demand’ anything.

Issuing/selling CPI indexed govt debt is functionally external debt. With we owe ‘real’ wealth rather than strictly nominal wealth, and are subject to nearly the same risks as if we were borrowing real goods and services and had to pay them back in kind.

The lack of understanding of the monetary system is getting more costly by the day.

U.S., in Nod to China, to Sell More TIPS

By Rob Copeland and Maya Jackson Randall

August 6 (WSJ) — The Treasury Department, responding to growing demand from China and other investors, will boost the sale of inflation-protected bonds that hold their value as consumer prices rise.

“We continue to hear growing demand for the product,” Treasury Deputy Assistant Secretary for Federal Financing Matt Rutherford said at a news conference announcing the plan on Wednesday.

The decision to increase sales of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS, is part of a broader effort to ensure there is enough demand for Treasury bonds to help the U.S. finance its swelling budget deficit. The Treasury already has issued a record amount of debt in the past year, and the department said Wednesday it will sell a record $75 billion next week.

In particular, Treasury officials need to ensure demand from China, the largest holder of U.S. government debt. Last week’s auctions of fixed-rate notes saw lukewarm demand from China and other investors. Chinese officials had indicated they want inflation-protected securities, especially as the U.S. economy starts to recover.

“Inflation is the No. 1 worry,” said Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. “This is the government saying, ‘We will take that inflation risk away from you.’”

Even with an increase, TIPS would remain a fraction of the overall market for Treasurys. Of the $6.66 trillion of government bonds issued between Oct. 1, 2008 and June 30 of this year, just $44 billion were TIPS.

The Treasury could easily sell as much as $10 billion more, said Jeffrey Elswick, director of fixed income at Frost Investment Advisors LLC. But those extra sales mightn’t be such great news for existing owners of inflation-protected notes. If the Treasury continues to ramp up TIPS sales, it will “cheapen” the bonds of existing investors, said Don Martin, a financial planner with Mayflower Capital in Los Altos, Calif.

The value of the securities fell after the announcement, sending the gap between TIPS and comparable nominal notes to a two-month high. The gap ended at 1.93 percentage points, signaling that investors expect annualized inflation of 1.93% over the next decade.

The Treasury also said it may issue 30-year TIPS in place of 20-year TIPS.


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Posted in China, TREASURY | 12 Comments »

Clunker Man

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 6th August 2009


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Right, perfect example of how the program’s helping the higher income Americans a lot more than the lower income americans!

>   
>   (email exchange)
>   
>   On Thu, Aug 6, 2009 at 12:22 PM, wrote:
>   
>   Turned my 2001 Durango in for 2009 Toyota Highlander and got the full $4500.00.
>   CLUNKER MAN.
>   


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Posted in Government Spending | 4 Comments »

Federal Deficit as a % of GDP

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 6th August 2009


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Looking very much like the automatic stabilizers turned the tide around year end, and subsequent fiscal adjustments are helping firm things up as well.

But there was a lot of work to do to add back the financial assets to the government lost during the surplus years of the late 90’s, so we may linger here a little longer than in previous cycles while the non govt sector’s net financial assets are restored to levels sufficient to support growth and employment.


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Posted in Deficit | No Comments »

Deficit Myths doing real damage

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 6th August 2009


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While I much prefer my proposal for health care, Increasing the size of the deficit during this period of deficient aggregate demand should not be the reason for rejecting or accepting the proposed health care act.

Deficit myths have moved the discussion off point.

Scrap Health Care Reform If It Adds To Deficit

August 5, 2009 – Scrap Health Care Reform If It Adds To Deficit, U.S. Voters Tell Quinnipiac University National Poll; Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of Health Care

American voters, by a 55 – 35 percent margin, are more worried that Congress will spend too much money and add to the deficit than it will not act to overhaul the health care system, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. By a similar 57 – 37 percent margin, voters say health care reform should be dropped if it adds “significantly” to the deficit.


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Posted in Deficit, Government Spending | 1 Comment »