China to boost commodity stockpiling


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Looking like they are diversifying a bit away from financial reserves:

China to Boost Commodity Stockpiling Storage Capacity

by John Duce

Apr 19 (Bloomberg) — China will give priority to boosting its storage capacity for resources such as oil and grains to ensure supply and smooth price volatility, a senior government official said.

China is also likely to further ease state controls on oil prices to reflect the market value of the fuel and encourage energy saving, said Zhang Xiaoqiang, vice chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission.

“We need to improve and strengthen our permanent commodity storage,” said Zhang at the Boao meeting of business and political leaders in southern China. “We should also deepen our reform of the oil price system,” he said.

China, the world’s largest consumer of commodities, said March 31 that it will carry out an audit of its grain and soybean stockpiles. The results of the survey will not be made public, according to a joint statement issued by 10 ministries and state agencies. Emergency reserves of oil will be built to store up to 100 days of demand, the head of the National Energy Administration said this month.

Speculation in commodity markets drove up prices in recent months, said Zhang. Boosting reserves would help ensure supply at reasonable prices, he said, without giving details of the likely scale of increases in stockpiling capacity.

“We also need to develop the commercial-sector storage capacity, so we can have a joint effort here,” he said.

Oil prices are controlled by the government to limit their contribution to inflation. The government introduced a pricing mechanism last December which ensures a profit margin for refiners and reflects the market price for crude oil.


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Levy Conference review


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Levy Conference review

by George M. Richvalsky

Apr 19 — Warren presented “Alternative Proposals for a U.S. Nonconvertible Currency Regime” [see “Levy Presentation” on another part of this site] on Friday, April 17, 2009 at a conference organized by the Levy Economics Institute [www.levy.org] of Bard College entitled The State of the U.S. and World Economies: Meeting the Challenges of the Financial Crisis. Ford Foundation provided support. The Levy Institute is a nonprofit, non partisan public policy research organization whose work is premised on the accounting identity Government Surplus/Deficit = Private Deficit/Surplus.

The conference was well attended with many luminous presenters including a Nobel Laureate, Federal Reserve Bank Presidents, famous authors, academics, economists and forecasters [see Levy Program also on this site].

Warren’s presentation came within a block of “in paradigm” speakers, Jamie Galbraith, Robert Parenteau and Randy Wray, all effective and to their point. Warren’s major thrust is that the US is not on a gold standard but rather a nonconvertible currency regime with a broader range of policy options that he proceeded to put forward. His conclusions [see presentation final page]: recession is over, the ugly way – caused by automatic stabilizers, additional proactive fiscal adjustments are only now kicking in with the subsequent recovery restoring the financial sector and housing markets, but high and lingering unemployment will contain real wages and direct real wealth towards rentiers and upper income individuals. I encourage you to review this year’s proceeding when they appear on the Levy website. I noticed that 2008s proceedings are still available.

Mike Norman, a blogger on Warren’s site and an effervescent radio and TV personality, attended Warren’s presentation and reports that he will shortly provide details about his new TV show. Congrats Mike!

Not only did I enjoy the conference’s content and socializing opportunities but I was also impressed by those organizations and personalities that share those views expressed by Warren on this site. Expanding economic policy options to achieve increased world prosperity is necessary NOW but only happens once the politicians and their advisors acknowledge the validity of these views. The question is, How do we get to that tipping point?


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Fuel demand falls


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Largest year over year drop in a while after hovering around flat year over year.

Might be why Saudis decided to cut prices recently.

I’m looking for consumption to increase as GDP stabilizes and then return to positive territory as global automatic stabilizers and proactive fiscal policies add net financial assets.

Crude Oil Rises After Unexpected Decline in U.S. Jobless Claims

by Mark Shenk

April 16 (Bloomberg) — Daily fuel demand averaged over the past four weeks was 18.7 million barrels, down 5.2 percent from a year earlier, according to the department.


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2009-04-16 USER


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Housing Starts (Mar)

Survey 540K
Actual 510K
Prior 583K
Revised 572K

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Building Permits (Mar)

Survey 549K
Actual 513K
Prior 547K
Revised 564K

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Initial Jobless Claims (Apr 11)

Survey 660K
Actual 610K
Prior 654K
Revised 663K

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Continuing Claims (Apr 4)

Survey 5893K
Actual 6022K
Prior 5840K
Revised 5850K

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Jobless Claims ALLX (Apr 11)

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Philadelphia Fed (Apr)

Survey -32.0
Actual -24.4
Prior -35.0
Revised n/a

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Philadelphia Fed TABLE 1 (Apr)

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Philadelphia Fed TABLE 2 (Apr)


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