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MOSLER'S LAW: There is no financial crisis so deep that a sufficiently large tax cut or spending increase cannot deal with it.

Archive for December 15th, 2008

2008-12-15 CREDIT

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 15th December 2008


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IG On-the-run Spreads (Dec 15)

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IG6 Spreads (Dec 15)

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IG7 Spreads (Dec 15)

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IG8 Spreads (Dec 15)

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IG9 Spreads (Dec 15)


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Posted in Credit | 4 Comments »

Re: Fed cut

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 15th December 2008


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(email exchange)

The Fed has no way of ‘pumping money into the economy’ = they only alter interest rates.

Except by making loans they don’t plan on collecting (the swap line advances to CB’s?)

Which is functionally equivalent to fiscal spending which does add income and financial assets to the economy.

>   
>   Rodger wrote:
>   
>   You and I were talking about a 0% fed funds rate. Almost there, now. Last I
>   heard, down to .25%. It will have no benefit. Wait, correction on that. There
>   will be one benefit. It gets us almost to the point where the Fed will stop
>   focusing on useless interest rate cuts, and start pumping money into the
>   economy. I hope.
>   
>   Rodger
>   


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Posted in Credit, Email, Fed, Interest Rates | 8 Comments »

Re: Fed swaps up $85.6 to $628B

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 15th December 2008


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(email exchange)

Thanks, way up!

Probably means USD credit is tightening up for non-US institutions, and maybe the unlimited lines are starting to get used for a lot more than just funding previously existing assets.

>   
>   On Fri, Dec 12, 2008 at 9:53 PM, Cesar wrote:
>   
>   Fed swaps up $85.6 to $628B.
>   


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Posted in Credit, Email, Fed | 9 Comments »

2008-12-15 USER

Posted by WARREN MOSLER on 15th December 2008


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Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Dec)

Survey -28.00
Actual -25.76
Prior -25.43
Revised n/a

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 1 (Dec)

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Empire State Manufacturing Survey ALLX 2 (Dec)

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Net Long Term TIC Flows (Oct)

Survey $40.0B
Actual $1.5B
Prior $66.2B
Revised $65.4B

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Total Net TIC Flows (Oct)

Survey n/a
Actual $286.3B
Prior $143.4B
Revised $142.6B

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TIC ALLX (Oct)

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TIC TABLE 1 (Oct)

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TIC TABLE 2 (Oct)

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TIC TABLE 3 (Oct)

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Industrial Production MoM (Nov)

Survey -0.8%
Actual -0.6%
Prior 1.3%
Revised 1.5%

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Industrial Production YoY (Nov)

Survey n/a
Actual -5.5%
Prior -4.5%
Revised n/a

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Capacity Utilization (Nov)

Survey 75.6%
Actual 75.4%
Prior 76.4%
Revised 76.0%

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 1 (Nov)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 2 (Nov)

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Capacity Utilization TABLE 3 (Nov)


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Posted in Daily | No Comments »